$10.7 billion—that’s the estimated cost of Binance’s fine and the hacking incident (K33 Research, about 56% of five years of pre-tax profits). Here are the key things to check when you wake up:

• $BTC $77,134, 24h -1.34%, range 76.7k–78.9k
• $ETH $2,258, -0.67%, holding up better than BTC; $SOL $92.51, -1.82%
• Fear and Greed Index: 26, down from 37 yesterday—sentiment has clearly cooled
• After Binance resumed withdrawals, 24h net outflows were about $5.8 billion (DefiLlama); CZ said losses were covered using its own balance sheet
• Brazil’s Mercado Bitcoin was hacked for over $46 million, keeping exchange security in the spotlight
• U.S. midterm election voting takes place today; the results will affect expectations for the CLARITY Act

My take: 76.7k is the first level to watch today. If it doesn’t hold, we could test lower levels; a move back above 78.9k would signal sentiment is recovering. Volatility could pick up on election night, so don’t make a big bet on direction.

Do you think BTC will test 76k or 79k first today?

#早报 #比特币 #Midterm elections
(For reference only, not investment advice)