$EVAA/USDT: +200% from the base — the next impulse could change the whole picture, but who is controlling the market now?
EVAA broke out of a prolonged accumulation phase and showed strong momentum, rising from $0.49 to $1.7372. But after such a move, the market encountered sellers, and the price returned to $1.31.
The key question: is this a normal correction before another rally, or the beginning of a deeper bearish Delivery?
Let’s not guess. Let’s see where liquidity is and which levels will determine the next scenario.
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE
W1: the global structure remains bearish. The current recovery does not yet confirm a full reversal of the higher-timeframe trend.
D1: after a prolonged decline from the all-time highs, a strong bullish Delivery formed from the $0.49–0.55 area to $1.7372.
H4: the market formed a working range of $1.13–1.74. A correction began after the upper liquidity was swept.
H1: the price failed to hold above $1.4554 and returned to the $1.25–1.30 area. Local selling pressure remains.
Current Bias: WAIT / NEUTRAL.
💧 LIQUIDITY MAP
Key areas of interest:
🔴 BSL:
$1.40–1.455
$1.52–1.737
🟢 SSL:
$1.25–1.20
$1.13
The market has already swept liquidity above the previous highs and formed a sharp upward impulse. Now we need to watch whether the price can hold the lower part of the range.
🔻 PLAN A — SHORT
POI: $1.36–1.42
If the price returns to this area, we’ll look for signs of selling activity.
Entry conditions on M5:
Sweep of local BSL.
Bearish MSS.
Displacement.
FVG/IFVG Retest.
Potential Delivery:
$1.30 → $1.25 → $1.20 → $1.13.
🔺 PLAN B — LONG
POI: $1.25–1.20
If the price delivers the market into Discount, sweeps SSL, and forms a bullish structure, there will be grounds to consider a LONG.
Conditions:
Sweep SSL.
Bullish MSS on M5.
Displacement.
FVG/IFVG Retest.
Potential Delivery:
$1.35 → $1.455 → $1.52.
⚠️ INVALIDATION
For SHORT, $1.4554 is a key level. A sustained hold above it would weaken the bearish scenario.
A break above $1.7372 with price holding above it would invalidate the hypothesis that the current correction will continue.
For LONG, a sustained hold below $1.13 would call the local recovery scenario into question.
🧠 FINAL THOUGHT
EVAA has already demonstrated how quickly the market can move after breaking out of accumulation. But a strong impulse in the past does not guarantee further gains in the future.
Right now, we have two areas of interest, two scenarios, and clear confirmation conditions.
POI ≠ Entry.
We don’t buy just because the price has fallen. We don’t sell just because the price has risen.
First, Liquidity Sweep → MSS → Displacement → Retest. Only then do we make a trading decision.
Until the market shows its direction — WAIT. Don’t chase the price.
💬 Which scenario do you expect: another impulse toward $1.52 or a continuation of the correction toward $1.20?
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