ZEC: The shorter trend has a case. The daily chart is its strongest objection.
🔴 SHORT
$ZEC /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Zone reached; confirmation pending.
Why this plan
The 4h case runs against the daily trend, so follow-through faces a larger-timeframe headwind.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h mixed.
• 1h RSI 41.3: supports SHORT.
• 15m DI+ 16.6 / DI− 35.7: leans SHORT; ADX 26.2 measures strength.
The levels
Entry: 1248.67 – 1252.02
TP1: 1241.74 (-0.7% | 0.64R) [1h swing]
TP2: 1235.4 (-1.2% | 1.11R) [1h swing]
TP3: 1231.68 (-1.5% | 1.39R) [1h swing]
SL: 1263.76 (+1.1%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.31R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: The daily EMA stack favors LONG; the larger timeframe can resist SHORT follow-through.
Watch also: TP1 offers 0.31R after assumed fees/slippage at the worst zone edge; first-target reward is limited (funding excluded).
Entry review: Zone reached; review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 1263.76, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 01 Nov 00:06 UTC | Expires 01 Nov 00:36 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$ZEC /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Zone reached; confirmation pending.
Why this plan
The 4h case runs against the daily trend, so follow-through faces a larger-timeframe headwind.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h mixed.
• 1h RSI 41.3: supports SHORT.
• 15m DI+ 16.6 / DI− 35.7: leans SHORT; ADX 26.2 measures strength.
The levels
Entry: 1248.67 – 1252.02
TP1: 1241.74 (-0.7% | 0.64R) [1h swing]
TP2: 1235.4 (-1.2% | 1.11R) [1h swing]
TP3: 1231.68 (-1.5% | 1.39R) [1h swing]
SL: 1263.76 (+1.1%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.31R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: The daily EMA stack favors LONG; the larger timeframe can resist SHORT follow-through.
Watch also: TP1 offers 0.31R after assumed fees/slippage at the worst zone edge; first-target reward is limited (funding excluded).
Entry review: Zone reached; review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 1263.76, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 01 Nov 00:06 UTC | Expires 01 Nov 00:36 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
