Nasdaq and BTC—the connection today is interesting
Don’t use last week’s rate-cut story to explain today’s market.
No guessing price levels today; just looking at the numbers that are already in.
10-year Treasury yield 4.93% (5-day -1.14%)
VIX 19.42 (5-day +5.60%)
Transmission: the 10-year yield is 4.93%, down -1.14% over 5 days. Falling rates give risk assets a window, but what matters is whether that window stays open—not a single daily candle.
BTC 77544, 24h volume 0.49 billion USD. ETH/BTC 0.02909. ETH +0.43% is tracking closely with BTC +0.27%, with the exchange ratio at 0.02909. There’s no independent move, so don’t make an outright bet on altcoins.
Outlook: VIX is at 19.42 now. If it moves above 18, I’ll cut my futures position in half. I’m not going to argue with the U.S. stock market’s closing price.
My position: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. If the structure holds, I can keep a core position. Any additions have to wait for a pullback to my target zone.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers won’t be filled in.
Would you dare to add to your position at this funding rate?
#财报 #美股 #BTC
Takeaway: Track large ETF net inflows over multiple days; treat a one-day spike as noise.
Idea: 10-year yields are ticking up: valuation narratives take a back seat; spot buys are limited to pullback zones.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are marked with a dash):
BTC 77,544 +0.27% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,256 +0.43% ETH/BTC 0.02909
S&P 7,580 -0.57% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,437 -2.00% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.00% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.42 +5.60% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0100% Open interest 7.52B (24h +0.65) Long/short ratio 2.5727 Binance U-margined
For context: people are discussing “bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks” - Google News. I treat it only as background; my conclusion is still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources listed in the main text. This is not a trade instruction.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Don’t use last week’s rate-cut story to explain today’s market.
No guessing price levels today; just looking at the numbers that are already in.
10-year Treasury yield 4.93% (5-day -1.14%)
VIX 19.42 (5-day +5.60%)
Transmission: the 10-year yield is 4.93%, down -1.14% over 5 days. Falling rates give risk assets a window, but what matters is whether that window stays open—not a single daily candle.
BTC 77544, 24h volume 0.49 billion USD. ETH/BTC 0.02909. ETH +0.43% is tracking closely with BTC +0.27%, with the exchange ratio at 0.02909. There’s no independent move, so don’t make an outright bet on altcoins.
Outlook: VIX is at 19.42 now. If it moves above 18, I’ll cut my futures position in half. I’m not going to argue with the U.S. stock market’s closing price.
My position: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. If the structure holds, I can keep a core position. Any additions have to wait for a pullback to my target zone.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance U-margined / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers won’t be filled in.
Would you dare to add to your position at this funding rate?
#财报 #美股 #BTC
Takeaway: Track large ETF net inflows over multiple days; treat a one-day spike as noise.
Idea: 10-year yields are ticking up: valuation narratives take a back seat; spot buys are limited to pullback zones.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are marked with a dash):
BTC 77,544 +0.27% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,256 +0.43% ETH/BTC 0.02909
S&P 7,580 -0.57% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,437 -2.00% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.00% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.42 +5.60% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0100% Open interest 7.52B (24h +0.65) Long/short ratio 2.5727 Binance U-margined
For context: people are discussing “bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks” - Google News. I treat it only as background; my conclusion is still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources listed in the main text. This is not a trade instruction.
$BTC $ETH $SOL