Don't catch Intel's falling knife just yet.
Down 28.58%—its worst single-day drop since 1974. The government's small stake lost $12 billion in value in a single day. CNBC's headline last night was blunt: analysts are telling you not to rush in and buy the dip.
Here's why: Q4 revenue guidance is $15–16 billion, well below the market's expectation of $17.1 billion. CEO Lip-Bu Tan blamed rising memory prices, saying weak PC demand will persist through the first half of 2027 and that memory costs are “a serious problem in 2027.” Translation: next year will hurt more.
Even more interesting is the side-by-side comparison: SanDisk beat earnings by a mile and still fell 14%. In this storage supercycle, beneficiaries and victims are getting hit hand in hand. The market isn't interested in how good your story sounds right now—it'll sell first and ask questions later.
My three questions before buying the dip: Has guidance bottomed? No. Have memory costs peaked? No. Have they landed AI chip orders? Also no. Three strikes. Catching the knife just provides liquidity to the market.
BTC is still below $80,000, and risk assets across the board are paying their dues this week. A few things to watch for in the coming days: Binance's withdrawal resumption window is today or tomorrow, the PoR report comes out Monday, and the U.S. midterm elections are Tuesday. There's also an action window regarding Iran after Election Day. Manage your positions and don't jump the gun.
NFA DYOR
$INTC $BTC $ETH
#英特尔 #美股 #比特币 #AI #Cryptocurrency
Down 28.58%—its worst single-day drop since 1974. The government's small stake lost $12 billion in value in a single day. CNBC's headline last night was blunt: analysts are telling you not to rush in and buy the dip.
Here's why: Q4 revenue guidance is $15–16 billion, well below the market's expectation of $17.1 billion. CEO Lip-Bu Tan blamed rising memory prices, saying weak PC demand will persist through the first half of 2027 and that memory costs are “a serious problem in 2027.” Translation: next year will hurt more.
Even more interesting is the side-by-side comparison: SanDisk beat earnings by a mile and still fell 14%. In this storage supercycle, beneficiaries and victims are getting hit hand in hand. The market isn't interested in how good your story sounds right now—it'll sell first and ask questions later.
My three questions before buying the dip: Has guidance bottomed? No. Have memory costs peaked? No. Have they landed AI chip orders? Also no. Three strikes. Catching the knife just provides liquidity to the market.
BTC is still below $80,000, and risk assets across the board are paying their dues this week. A few things to watch for in the coming days: Binance's withdrawal resumption window is today or tomorrow, the PoR report comes out Monday, and the U.S. midterm elections are Tuesday. There's also an action window regarding Iran after Election Day. Manage your positions and don't jump the gun.
NFA DYOR
$INTC $BTC $ETH
#英特尔 #美股 #比特币 #AI #Cryptocurrency