#股票财报季
👉 两家合并怎么看，进群聊
The two companies have each formed a committee.
The feasibility of a merger is now under review.
Prediction markets put the year-end probability at 18.5%.
A few days ago, it was 20%.
The contract is for an announcement before January 1, 2028.
The odds are 66.5%.
A merger is more than just adding two balance sheets together.
Elon Musk runs both companies.
Tesla's valuation already has the autonomous-driving story baked in.
Adding a rocket to the mix would make the discount even harder to calculate.
The review committees are just the first step.
Clearing the legal and shareholder hurdles won't be easy.
Regulatory approval is another hurdle they can't avoid.
Neither company has a simple shareholder structure.
Once news of a merger breaks, volatility will spike first.
Merger talks usually start with valuation, then move on to governance.
We'll know by year's end whether the committees can reach a deal.
The news will keep shifting.
For crypto, this kind of cross-market narrative can draw risk capital away.
The bigger the story, the further away the cash flows.
Prediction market odds will jump with every news update.
Do you think there'll be a deal this year? Share your thoughts in the comments.
👉 两家合并怎么看，进群聊
The two companies have each formed a committee.
The feasibility of a merger is now under review.
Prediction markets put the year-end probability at 18.5%.
A few days ago, it was 20%.
The contract is for an announcement before January 1, 2028.
The odds are 66.5%.
A merger is more than just adding two balance sheets together.
Elon Musk runs both companies.
Tesla's valuation already has the autonomous-driving story baked in.
Adding a rocket to the mix would make the discount even harder to calculate.
The review committees are just the first step.
Clearing the legal and shareholder hurdles won't be easy.
Regulatory approval is another hurdle they can't avoid.
Neither company has a simple shareholder structure.
Once news of a merger breaks, volatility will spike first.
Merger talks usually start with valuation, then move on to governance.
We'll know by year's end whether the committees can reach a deal.
The news will keep shifting.
For crypto, this kind of cross-market narrative can draw risk capital away.
The bigger the story, the further away the cash flows.
Prediction market odds will jump with every news update.
Do you think there'll be a deal this year? Share your thoughts in the comments.
