During earnings season, look at guidance before profits
There’s no new narrative in U.S. stocks today, only gains and losses.
I’m not guessing price levels today—just looking at numbers that are already in.
Nasdaq 25,437 (5-day -2.00%, Yahoo)
U.S. Dollar Index 101.96 (5-day +0.00%)
What this means: The Nasdaq is down 2.00% over 5 days, underperforming the S&P 500’s -0.57%. Growth stocks are falling behind. Chasing AI coins now means buying the beta that U.S. stocks have already started dumping.
BTC 77455, 24h volume $1.36 billion. ETH/BTC 0.029. ETH +1.36% is outperforming BTC -0.12%, with the exchange rate at 0.029. This looks like risk appetite spilling over—not BTC moving on its own.
Looking ahead: The next thing to watch is whether the 10-year yield can stabilize. If yields keep rising, I’ll treat rebounds in growth stocks and BTC as retracements.
My position: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. If the structure holds, I can keep a core position. Any additions have to wait for a pullback to my target zone.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are not filled in.
Would you dare add to your position at this funding rate?
#财报 #美股 #BTC
Useful fact: Basis = futures price minus spot price. With a positive basis, longs are paying.
Takeaway: ETH is weaker than BTC: liquidity is contracting, so wait before buying altcoins on the right side of the chart.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are shown as dashes):
BTC 77,455 -0.12% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,246 +1.36% ETH/BTC 0.029
S&P 500 7,580 -0.57% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,437 -2.00% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.00% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.42 +5.60% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0100% Open interest 7.47B (24h -2.12) Long/short ratio 2.7523 Binance USDⓈ-M
For context: People elsewhere are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks" - Google News.” I treat it only as background; my conclusions are still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources listed in the main text. This is not an instruction to place a trade.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
There’s no new narrative in U.S. stocks today, only gains and losses.
I’m not guessing price levels today—just looking at numbers that are already in.
Nasdaq 25,437 (5-day -2.00%, Yahoo)
U.S. Dollar Index 101.96 (5-day +0.00%)
What this means: The Nasdaq is down 2.00% over 5 days, underperforming the S&P 500’s -0.57%. Growth stocks are falling behind. Chasing AI coins now means buying the beta that U.S. stocks have already started dumping.
BTC 77455, 24h volume $1.36 billion. ETH/BTC 0.029. ETH +1.36% is outperforming BTC -0.12%, with the exchange rate at 0.029. This looks like risk appetite spilling over—not BTC moving on its own.
Looking ahead: The next thing to watch is whether the 10-year yield can stabilize. If yields keep rising, I’ll treat rebounds in growth stocks and BTC as retracements.
My position: I only buy pullbacks; I don’t chase breakouts. If the structure holds, I can keep a core position. Any additions have to wait for a pullback to my target zone.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are not filled in.
Would you dare add to your position at this funding rate?
#财报 #美股 #BTC
Useful fact: Basis = futures price minus spot price. With a positive basis, longs are paying.
Takeaway: ETH is weaker than BTC: liquidity is contracting, so wait before buying altcoins on the right side of the chart.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are shown as dashes):
BTC 77,455 -0.12% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,246 +1.36% ETH/BTC 0.029
S&P 500 7,580 -0.57% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,437 -2.00% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.00% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.42 +5.60% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0100% Open interest 7.47B (24h -2.12) Long/short ratio 2.7523 Binance USDⓈ-M
For context: People elsewhere are discussing “"bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks" - Google News.” I treat it only as background; my conclusions are still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources listed in the main text. This is not an instruction to place a trade.
$BTC $ETH $SOL