Data as of October 31, 2026, 09:00 (UTC+8). Source: publicly available Binance spot market data.
Ahead of the Asian session open, the key focus is whether price can hold the important levels established overnight.
【Key Takeaway】
BTC is trading at $77,568.81, up 0.5% over 24 hours. It is currently below the MA20 and MA50, but above the MA200. The structure is bearish, and rebounds toward the moving averages are likely to meet resistance. The four major cryptocurrencies are up an average of 1.4% over 24 hours, with all 4/4 gaining and combined trading volume of approximately $2.97 billion. Overall, the market remains a zero-sum game among existing capital, and a new catalyst is needed for a sustained directional move.
1. Market Snapshot
• BTC｜$77,568.81｜24h +0.5%｜7d -4.1%｜30d -8.6%｜Trading volume $1.63 billion
• ETH｜$2,250.05｜24h +1.3%｜7d -4.6%｜30d -16.9%｜Trading volume $890 million
• BNB｜$708.79｜24h +1.8%｜7d -4.2%｜30d -8.2%｜Trading volume $210 million
• SOL｜$96.82｜24h +2.2%｜7d -5.4%｜30d -18.2%｜Trading volume $240 million
• BTC accounts for 54.8% of the combined trading volume of the four major assets. Capital is relatively evenly distributed, leaving room for rotation.
II. BTC (Bitcoin)｜Bearish Alignment
Closed slightly higher: currently at $77,568.81, up 0.5% in 24 hours, down 4.1% over 7 days, and down 8.6% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 76,325.98–78,804.01, with trading volume of about $1.63 billion. The current price is near the middle of the 24-hour range, with buyers and sellers temporarily balanced.
Moving averages: The current price is below MA20 and MA50, but above MA200. MA20 is 81,110.53, MA50 is 81,960.01, and MA200 is 73,179.02; the 20-day moving average slope is -1.18%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 sloping downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 35.4 (neutral to weak), 4-hour RSI is 37.7, and trading volume over the past 5 days was about 1.04 times the average of the previous 20 days (volume was flat). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, so the rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 84,377.21 (10-day high), 87,220.00 (30-day high); support below at 76,325.98 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 2.51%, 20-day closing volatility is 2.13%, and price is -11.1% from the 30-day high and +1.6% from the 30-day low.
III. ETH (Ethereum)｜Bearish Alignment
Rose moderately: currently at $2,250.05, up 1.3% in 24 hours, down 4.6% over 7 days, and down 16.9% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 2,174.08–2,262.49, with trading volume of about $890 million. The current price is close to the upper end of the 24-hour range, showing short-term strength, but watch for a pullback after the rally.
Moving averages: The current price is below MA20 and MA50, but above MA200. MA20 is 2,381.26, MA50 is 2,522.13, and MA200 is 2,159.39; the 20-day moving average slope is -2.30%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 sloping downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 30.8 (weak), 4-hour RSI is 38.4, and trading volume over the past 5 days was about 0.94 times the average of the previous 20 days (volume was flat). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. The 4-hour trend remains weak, so the rebound looks more like a recovery than a reversal.
Key levels: Resistance above at 2,482.49 (10-day high), 2,777.33 (30-day high); support below at 2,174.08 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 3.63%, 20-day closing volatility is 2.97%, and price is -19.0% from the 30-day high and +3.5% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.02901; underperformed BTC by -9.0% over the past 30 days, and is still passively following its decline.
IV. BNB (Binance Coin)｜Bearish Alignment
Rose moderately: currently at $708.79, up 1.8% in 24 hours, down 4.2% over 7 days, and down 8.2% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 692.01–722.08, with trading volume of about $210 million. The current price is near the middle of the 24-hour range, with buyers and sellers temporarily balanced.
Moving averages: The current price is below MA20 and MA50, but above MA200. MA20 is 731.34, MA50 is 749.21, and MA200 is 655.21; the 20-day moving average slope is -0.94%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 sloping downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 40.5 (neutral to weak), 4-hour RSI is 40.6, and trading volume over the past 5 days was about 2.23 times the average of the previous 20 days (a significant increase in volume). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. 4-hour momentum is neutral; waiting for a directional move.
Key levels: Resistance above at 762.20 (10-day high), 809.99 (30-day high); support below at 680.00 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 3.27%, 20-day closing volatility is 2.03%, and price is -12.5% from the 30-day high and +4.2% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.009138; largely in line with BTC over the past 30 days (+0.5%), with no independent trend for now.
V. SOL (Solana)｜Bearish Alignment
Closed slightly higher: currently at $96.82, up 2.2% in 24 hours, down 5.4% over 7 days, and down 18.2% over 30 days; 24-hour range: 93.16–98.59, with trading volume of about $240 million. The current price is near the middle of the 24-hour range, with buyers and sellers temporarily balanced.
Moving averages: The current price is below MA20 and MA50, but above MA200. MA20 is 102.84, MA50 is 109.20, and MA200 is 88.86; the 20-day moving average slope is -3.01%. The moving averages are bearishly aligned, with MA20 sloping downward; a rebound would first need to reclaim this level.
Momentum and volume: Daily RSI14 is 32.7 (weak), 4-hour RSI is 42.1, and trading volume over the past 5 days was about 1.01 times the average of the previous 20 days (volume was flat). Daily RSI is in neutral territory, with no extreme signals yet. 4-hour momentum is neutral; waiting for a directional move.
Key levels: Resistance above at 107.50 (10-day high), 123.76 (30-day high); support below at 92.34 (10-day low). Average True Range (ATR14) is about 3.99%, 20-day closing volatility is 3.17%, and price is -21.8% from the 30-day high and +4.9% from the 30-day low.
Relative strength: BTC exchange rate 0.001248; underperformed BTC by -10.5% over the past 30 days, and is still passively following its decline.
VI. Capital Rotation
Measured against BTC, BNB was the strongest performer over the past 30 days (+0.5%), while SOL was the weakest (-10.5%). There is currently no clear leader in a catch-up rally; performance is mainly tracking the broader market.
VII. Today's Outlook and Risks
1. BTC is currently below MA20 (81,110.53). Treat a rebound to this level as resistance for now; avoid taking large positions until it moves back above it.
2. BTC, ETH, and SOL are in oversold territory. Watch for rebound opportunities after prices stabilize on declining volume, but be sure to set stop-losses.
3. Macroeconomic data, Fed statements, and ETF fund flows remain the biggest short-term variables. Technical levels can easily fail in response to breaking news, so be sure to manage position sizes.
【Risk Disclaimer】This article is compiled from publicly available Binance spot market data and is intended solely for technical analysis and information sharing. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto asset prices are highly volatile; make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance, and manage your positions and stop-losses appropriately.
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