$PREDICT , the token of prediction-market platform Predict.fun, starts trading on Binance Alpha today at 09:00 UTC — and the timing could hardly be stranger. Binance is still dealing with the largest exchange hack on record, while prediction markets are one of the few crypto sectors with real user demand this year.

The numbers from the Binance Wallet Prime Sale: 20M PREDICT (2% of the 1B supply) sold at $0.29, raising about $5.8M. That implies a fully diluted valuation near $290M. Per the published tokenomics, 16% of supply unlocks at TGE, while early backers and core contributors are locked for 24 months, with full unlock planned over five years. Season 1 airdrop recipients can take 35% now or 100% with a 12-month lock.

What I'm watching: how much of the airdrop gets claimed instantly (that's day-one sell pressure) and whether price holds above the $0.29 sale level. A launch that survives this market would say a lot about the sector. Would you buy a fresh listing in a week like this?