$Niu Lai: The afternoon rebound briefly met the morning’s recovery conditions, but failed to hold: a full 1-hour candle once closed at 0.05790, then price returned to 0.05635. There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no position was opened.
As of 14:19, spot was around 0.05736, up about 15% from the day’s low of 0.04986; open interest was down 7.97% over 24 hours and fell another 3.17% in the past 3 hours. The rebound came as leverage continued to unwind and liquidation pressure eased. However, the account long-short ratio rose from 1.45 in the morning to 1.48, meaning the remaining accounts are more heavily skewed long, and crowded dip-buying remains a risk.
The morning’s 0.05480 condition was triggered, but price failed to hold above 0.05720, so a brief breakout cannot be counted as a trend recovery. Next, only a full 1-hour candle holding back above 0.05760 would put 0.05890 in view; a break below 0.05570 would weaken the rebound, while a loss of 0.05350 would bring 0.05180 back into focus.
This move looks more like a technical rebound after deleveraging; a structural reversal is not yet in place.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management
As of 14:19, spot was around 0.05736, up about 15% from the day’s low of 0.04986; open interest was down 7.97% over 24 hours and fell another 3.17% in the past 3 hours. The rebound came as leverage continued to unwind and liquidation pressure eased. However, the account long-short ratio rose from 1.45 in the morning to 1.48, meaning the remaining accounts are more heavily skewed long, and crowded dip-buying remains a risk.
The morning’s 0.05480 condition was triggered, but price failed to hold above 0.05720, so a brief breakout cannot be counted as a trend recovery. Next, only a full 1-hour candle holding back above 0.05760 would put 0.05890 in view; a break below 0.05570 would weaken the rebound, while a loss of 0.05350 would bring 0.05180 back into focus.
This move looks more like a technical rebound after deleveraging; a structural reversal is not yet in place.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management