$CL In the early session, price surged straight from 102.6 to 105.11 and is now at 103.87 (+2.2%).
News: The Houthis have struck a Saudi refinery again; three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz hit mines and caught fire; the US may resume airstrikes on Iran after the midterm elections. This rally is driven by a geopolitical premium, not improving demand.
103.5 had repeatedly capped price from yesterday into today. It has now broken above that level.
Conservative: Go long only if price pulls back to 102.1 (the 1-hour cost line) and holds; stop-loss at 101.2.
Aggressive: Go long above 104.5; stop-loss at 103.4, betting the news continues to escalate.
Invalidation: A drop back below 102 would mean this was just a news-driven spike. Cut the long and move on.
$CLUSDT #原油 #WTI
News: The Houthis have struck a Saudi refinery again; three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz hit mines and caught fire; the US may resume airstrikes on Iran after the midterm elections. This rally is driven by a geopolitical premium, not improving demand.
103.5 had repeatedly capped price from yesterday into today. It has now broken above that level.
Conservative: Go long only if price pulls back to 102.1 (the 1-hour cost line) and holds; stop-loss at 101.2.
Aggressive: Go long above 104.5; stop-loss at 103.4, betting the news continues to escalate.
Invalidation: A drop back below 102 would mean this was just a news-driven spike. Cut the long and move on.
$CLUSDT #原油 #WTI