FED WATCH — A Rate Hold Is Not Automatically Bullish

The Federal Reserve held its policy rate in the 3.75%–4.00% range on October 28. Two policymakers dissented in favour of a 25-basis-point increase.

That matters because markets price expectations, not just today's decision.

If inflation remains persistent and traders begin expecting tighter policy, risk-sensitive assets could face renewed pressure. If incoming inflation data cools, the market could reassess that outlook.

Trading bias: SHORT on BTC and growth stocks if yields rise and price support breaks.

I would not enter based on the Fed headline alone. Confirm the move through Treasury yields, the dollar and the relevant asset's chart.

My rule: Follow the market's reaction to the news, not the headline in isolation.

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