The Fed decision is just around the corner early Thursday! Bitcoin keeps testing the $80,000 level—how should we respond?
1. The Fed’s rate decision early Thursday is getting closer, and market volatility over the next few days will revolve around this news. A lot of you have asked whether we should position ourselves in advance, so today I’ll lay out my thinking.
2. The market broadly expects rates to remain unchanged this time, and that expectation has already been priced in. Even if the outcome matches expectations, the market may not surge right away. We should watch out for “buy the rumor, sell the news”—the market could easily drop first, then gradually rebound. We’ve seen this play out many times before.
3. Of course, we also need to think ahead about the risks. If Warsh’s remarks are more hawkish than expected and signal that further rate hikes remain on the table, risk assets will come under pressure, and BTC and altcoins could continue to fall. We can’t ignore this bearish scenario.
4. Looking at the charts, the market has been fluctuating around $80,000 lately. Whether this support holds, together with how funds flow after the decision early Thursday, will largely determine the short-term direction. Neither bulls nor bears have established a clear advantage yet.
Ahead of major data releases like this, Mr. Yu won’t make an early bet on whether prices will rise or fall. I won’t speculate on the outcome or take a large position in advance. I’ll follow the signals from actual market flows and only trade when the setup is more certain.
There’ll be plenty of sharp wicks around the announcement, so don’t rush in to buy the dip or chase a short. Be patient and wait for the news to come out. Once the market shows a clear direction, then we can act. I’ll share updates in the Krusty Krab chatroom, okay?
#股票财报季 #微软财报能否兑现ai红利 #谷歌财报能否守住基本盘
1. The Fed’s rate decision early Thursday is getting closer, and market volatility over the next few days will revolve around this news. A lot of you have asked whether we should position ourselves in advance, so today I’ll lay out my thinking.
2. The market broadly expects rates to remain unchanged this time, and that expectation has already been priced in. Even if the outcome matches expectations, the market may not surge right away. We should watch out for “buy the rumor, sell the news”—the market could easily drop first, then gradually rebound. We’ve seen this play out many times before.
3. Of course, we also need to think ahead about the risks. If Warsh’s remarks are more hawkish than expected and signal that further rate hikes remain on the table, risk assets will come under pressure, and BTC and altcoins could continue to fall. We can’t ignore this bearish scenario.
4. Looking at the charts, the market has been fluctuating around $80,000 lately. Whether this support holds, together with how funds flow after the decision early Thursday, will largely determine the short-term direction. Neither bulls nor bears have established a clear advantage yet.
Ahead of major data releases like this, Mr. Yu won’t make an early bet on whether prices will rise or fall. I won’t speculate on the outcome or take a large position in advance. I’ll follow the signals from actual market flows and only trade when the setup is more certain.
There’ll be plenty of sharp wicks around the announcement, so don’t rush in to buy the dip or chase a short. Be patient and wait for the news to come out. Once the market shows a clear direction, then we can act. I’ll share updates in the Krusty Krab chatroom, okay?
#股票财报季 #微软财报能否兑现ai红利 #谷歌财报能否守住基本盘
