Today is Fed day. BTC is around $81,000, ETH at $2,355, and BNB around $745. The market is waiting for the rate decision and press conference. Trying to predict the direction at this point is a mistake. We’re trading only confirmed levels.
Over the past 24 hours, BTC bounced off the $79,500–80,000 zone and is trading around $81,000. Spot ETFs are showing mixed flows; institutional demand is there, but cautious. High yields and oil are still weighing on the market. The next move will depend on the reaction to the Fed.
BTC LONG — above $81 500
Entry: $81 500–81 800
Confirmation: 1h close above $81 500 + retest
Risk: 0.5% of capital
SL: $79 800
TP1: $83 200
TP2: $84 500
TP3: $86 000
Invalidation: 1h close below $79 800
After TP1 — move stop to breakeven.
$81 500 is a zone of recent local highs. A clean breakout and retest provide structure after the Fed decision.
ETH is holding weaker than Bitcoin. The Glamsterdam delay and ETF outflows have left the asset without a strong catalyst. The network is running, staking is high, but money is favoring BTC. The price is hovering around $2 350–2 360.
ETH LONG — above $2 380
Entry: $2 380–2 410
Confirmation: 1h close above $2 380 + retest
Risk: 0.5% of capital
SL: $2 280
TP1: $2 500
TP2: $2 600
TP3: $2 720
Invalidation: 1h close below $2 280
After TP1 — move stop to breakeven.
$2 380 is the nearest resistance. Without a breakout, the setup remains weak.
Today, BNB is launching Jenner on testnet: Payment Lane and preparations for CAS20. The quarterly burn has already taken place, supply is declining, and the network is showing revenue growth. This provides a fundamental backdrop, but the market is not in a hurry to price it in.
BNB LONG — above $755
Entry: $755–765
Confirmation: 1h close above $755 + retest
Risk: 0.5% of capital
SL: $725
TP1: $790
TP2: $820
TP3: $850
Invalidation: 1h close below $725
After TP1 — move stop to breakeven.
$755 is a zone where the price has bounced several times. A breakout after the burn and amid Jenner gives us a clear structure.
The Fed is today. Volatility could spike sharply. We’re not entering “just in case.” We need confirmation on the 15m/1h. If there’s no setup, we simply skip it.
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