$Bull Comes: The first afternoon retest is more meaningful. Price briefly pierced 0.06120 intraday, but the full 1-hour candle closed back above it, so the conditions for the morning’s strength have not yet failed. There was no formal entry plan beforehand, so no entry was made.
As of 14:11, spot was around 0.06195, up 10.39% over 24 hours. The low of the most recent completed 1-hour candle was 0.06083, and it closed at 0.06131. Open interest fell 0.14% over 24 hours and 0.56% over the past 3 hours. Price held while leverage exited, suggesting some short-term positions took profits. This is healthier than a rally driven by rising open interest, but it does not yet signal a fresh breakout.
The risk is that the account long/short ratio rose from 1.37 this morning to 1.40, meaning longs became more crowded during the pullback. Only a completed 1-hour candle closing back above 0.06240 would put 0.06350 in view. A close below 0.06120 would weaken the bullish setup; a break below 0.06000 would invalidate the morning’s momentum-chasing thesis. Data on position concentration and the full unlock schedule remain insufficient, so continue waiting for confirmation.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management
As of 14:11, spot was around 0.06195, up 10.39% over 24 hours. The low of the most recent completed 1-hour candle was 0.06083, and it closed at 0.06131. Open interest fell 0.14% over 24 hours and 0.56% over the past 3 hours. Price held while leverage exited, suggesting some short-term positions took profits. This is healthier than a rally driven by rising open interest, but it does not yet signal a fresh breakout.
The risk is that the account long/short ratio rose from 1.37 this morning to 1.40, meaning longs became more crowded during the pullback. Only a completed 1-hour candle closing back above 0.06240 would put 0.06350 in view. A close below 0.06120 would weaken the bullish setup; a break below 0.06000 would invalidate the morning’s momentum-chasing thesis. Data on position concentration and the full unlock schedule remain insufficient, so continue waiting for confirmation.
#牛来 #行情复盘 #Risk Management