Robinhood, the home base for U.S. retail traders, just reported a Q1 earnings shock that marks a historic turning point
Prediction markets raked in over $125 million in a single quarter
For the first time ever, they trounced revenue from spot crypto trading
Take a closer look at the ugly details in this earnings report and it’s enough to make you sweat
The brokerage brought in a record $1.27 billion in overall revenue in Q1
But its crypto transaction revenue was just $119 million
Down a staggering 55% year over year—cut in half
It didn’t even reach the $141 million bar the market had lowered its expectations to
After the report came out, the stock plunged more than 10% in after-hours trading
It’s not that retail traders ran out of money to bet
They’re moving the chips and attention they used to put into altcoins
in droves into prediction contracts, where they can bet directly on macro events, rate decisions, and sports outcomes
Understand this chart of retail money flows,
and the two big battles between tonight and Friday will make perfect sense
The Fed announces its rate decision at 02:00 tonight—or 2 a.m. tomorrow Beijing time
Powell holds a press conference at 02:30
The market currently puts the odds of rates staying unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at a whopping 99.5%
The real powder keg isn’t whether rates will be cut
It’s how Powell frames recent energy-inflation pressures
and the $10.97 billion monthly crypto options expiry coming up on Friday
The $BTC options have a notional value of $9.64 billion, with max pain at $74,000
The $ETH options are worth $1.33 billion, with max pain at $2,200
Incremental retail spot-market money is being siphoned into prediction markets
The funds left on the exchanges are all crowded into derivatives and macro-event windows, slugging it out
Until Powell turns off the mic at 2:30 a.m. and Friday’s $10 billion options expiry is done,
any pump or dump will have a strong whiff of liquidation hunting
Keep your hands off high-leverage trades, and watch the two options gravity points at $74,000 and $2,200 to see how the big players play their cards
I’m keeping a close eye on tonight’s macro battle and the $10 billion expiry ledger for everyone
Today, October 28, is also the final day of Binance’s Top 100 voting
Voting closes promptly at 23:59 tonight
The final vote just went live at 8 a.m. this morning
Head to my profile on the Binance Square homepage
Under my avatar, find “2026 Blockchain Top 100 Creator Awards — Emerging Creator”
Give it a quick tap and cast your vote for me today
No external links, no shady trading signals—just hard-hitting market data every day
No need to reply once you’ve voted. Let’s watch the markets together at 2 a.m. tonight
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#FOMC会议 #BTC #期权交割 #区块链百强创作者 #EmergingCreator
Prediction markets raked in over $125 million in a single quarter
For the first time ever, they trounced revenue from spot crypto trading
Take a closer look at the ugly details in this earnings report and it’s enough to make you sweat
The brokerage brought in a record $1.27 billion in overall revenue in Q1
But its crypto transaction revenue was just $119 million
Down a staggering 55% year over year—cut in half
It didn’t even reach the $141 million bar the market had lowered its expectations to
After the report came out, the stock plunged more than 10% in after-hours trading
It’s not that retail traders ran out of money to bet
They’re moving the chips and attention they used to put into altcoins
in droves into prediction contracts, where they can bet directly on macro events, rate decisions, and sports outcomes
Understand this chart of retail money flows,
and the two big battles between tonight and Friday will make perfect sense
The Fed announces its rate decision at 02:00 tonight—or 2 a.m. tomorrow Beijing time
Powell holds a press conference at 02:30
The market currently puts the odds of rates staying unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at a whopping 99.5%
The real powder keg isn’t whether rates will be cut
It’s how Powell frames recent energy-inflation pressures
and the $10.97 billion monthly crypto options expiry coming up on Friday
The $BTC options have a notional value of $9.64 billion, with max pain at $74,000
The $ETH options are worth $1.33 billion, with max pain at $2,200
Incremental retail spot-market money is being siphoned into prediction markets
The funds left on the exchanges are all crowded into derivatives and macro-event windows, slugging it out
Until Powell turns off the mic at 2:30 a.m. and Friday’s $10 billion options expiry is done,
any pump or dump will have a strong whiff of liquidation hunting
Keep your hands off high-leverage trades, and watch the two options gravity points at $74,000 and $2,200 to see how the big players play their cards
I’m keeping a close eye on tonight’s macro battle and the $10 billion expiry ledger for everyone
Today, October 28, is also the final day of Binance’s Top 100 voting
Voting closes promptly at 23:59 tonight
The final vote just went live at 8 a.m. this morning
Head to my profile on the Binance Square homepage
Under my avatar, find “2026 Blockchain Top 100 Creator Awards — Emerging Creator”
Give it a quick tap and cast your vote for me today
No external links, no shady trading signals—just hard-hitting market data every day
No need to reply once you’ve voted. Let’s watch the markets together at 2 a.m. tonight
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#FOMC会议 #BTC #期权交割 #区块链百强创作者 #EmergingCreator
