The market is in cautious wait-and-see mode ahead of the FOMC decision on October 28. BTC is trading around $79,500–80,000, total market capitalization is about $2.66 trillion, and BTC dominance is ≈ 60%. Volatility is compressed, and there are few high-quality setups with a clear structure and R:R ≥ 1:2. The priority is to wait for confirmation after the Fed’s decision.
The analysis has been redone using up-to-date data as of October 27, 2026.
SOL
In October, the Alpenglow upgrade was activated (the biggest consensus change since launch). The first spot Solana ETF was approved in Asia. At the same time, moderate outflows from spot SOL ETFs continue. On-chain activity remains high, but price is under pressure from the broader risk-off mood.
Supported by a strong ecosystem, network speed, and institutional interest through ETFs. Headwinds include the macro backdrop and the lack of strong capital inflows in recent weeks. The fundamentals are neutral-to-positive over a weekly horizon. Enter only on technical structure.
Price is around $99.5–100.5. Daily bias is mixed (below the 50 EMA ≈ $106, above the 200 EMA ≈ $98.3). 4h shows selling pressure. Supports: $98.3–98.5 and $94.5–96. Resistances: $102–103 and $105–107. Structure: correction after a pullback. Daily RSI ≈ 33–36 (weak).
There is no quality entry right now.
- Long: a strong 1h/4h close above $102–103 with volume and a retest. Target 1: $105–107, target 2: $110–112. SL below $98.2 (R:R ≥ 1:2).
- Short: daily close below $98.3 with volume. Target $94.5–92. SL above $101.
Long invalidation is a loss of $98.3; short invalidation is a return and hold above $103. Reduce position size until FOMC.
XRP
The Ripple Swell conference is taking place (October 27–29). Final OCC approval has been received for a national trust bank for RLUSD. Franklin Templeton has placed large tokenized assets on XRPL. Spot XRP ETFs are showing moderate inflows on some days.
Supported by institutional adoption, banking, and tokenization. Held back by the broader macro pressure and monthly escrow releases. Fundamentals are neutral-to-positive. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $1.29–1.30. Bias is mixed, consolidation. Supports: $1.25–1.26 and $1.20–1.22. Resistances: $1.33–1.35 and $1.40–1.42. Structure: sideways after a decline. RSI is neutral.
No quality entry.
- Long: close above $1.33–1.35 with volume. Target 1: $1.40, target 2: $1.45–1.48. SL below $1.26.
- Short: close below $1.25. Target $1.20–1.18. SL above $1.32.
Invalidation is a break of the key levels, respectively. Reduce position size until FOMC.
TRX
The network continues to show high stablecoin and transfer activity. There have been no major negative or positive catalysts in recent weeks. Price is moving in a narrow range amid the broader market.
Supported by steady network usage and low fees. The lack of clear growth drivers is a headwind. Fundamentals are neutral. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $0.327–0.328. Consolidation. Supports: $0.320–0.322 and $0.310–0.315. Resistances: $0.335–0.340 and $0.350. Bias is neutral. RSI is neutral.
No entry.
- Long: above $0.335–0.338 with volume. Target $0.350–0.360. SL below $0.322.
- Short: below $0.320. Target $0.310–0.305. SL above $0.332.
Reduce position size.
DOGE
The memecoin sector remains under pressure. There have been no standout DOGE news items in recent weeks. Price is following the overall market sentiment and BTC.
Supported by the community and brand. Held back by the lack of a strong fundamental driver and correlation with risk assets. Fundamentals are neutral/weak. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $0.0768–0.0775. Pressure on the 4h. Supports: $0.074–0.075 and $0.070–0.072. Resistances: $0.080–0.082 and $0.085–0.088. Structure: decline/consolidation. RSI is weak.
No entry.
- Long: above $0.080–0.082 with volume. Target $0.085–0.090. SL below $0.0745.
- Short: below $0.074. Target $0.070–0.068. SL above $0.079.
Reduce position size.
HYPE
Hyperliquid continues to hold the lead among DEXs by perpetual contract volume. A team token unlock is expected around November 6. In October, there were moderate outflows from related ETF products.
Supported by a strong buyback/burn model and real trading activity. The upcoming unlock and general risk-off sentiment are a headwind. Fundamentals are neutral-to-positive. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $77–78. Bias is mixed. Supports: $74–75 and $70–72. Resistances: $80–82 and $85–87. Structure: consolidation. RSI is neutral.
No entry.
- Long: above $80–82 with volume. Target $85–88. SL below $74.5.
- Short: below $74. Target $70–68. SL above $79.
Reduce position size.
LINK
Chainlink continues to strengthen its position as an infrastructure oracle. No major new partnerships have been announced in recent weeks. Price is under pressure along with most alts.
Supported by real demand for oracles and cross-chain solutions. Macro conditions are a headwind. Fundamentals are neutral-to-positive. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $11.25–11.40. Under pressure. Supports: $10.80–11.00 and $10.20–10.50. Resistances: $11.80–12.00 and $12.50–12.80. Structure: decline. RSI is weak.
No entry.
- Long: above $11.80–12.00 with volume. Target $12.50–13.00. SL below $10.90.
- Short: below $10.80. Target $10.20–9.80. SL above $11.60.
Reduce position size.
ADA
Cardano continues to develop its ecosystem, but without standout catalysts in October. Price is falling along with most altcoins amid the broader risk-off environment.
Supported by long-term development and the PoS model. Weak momentum and macro pressure are headwinds. Fundamentals are neutral. Enter only on structure.
Price is around $0.202–0.205. Under pressure. Supports: $0.195–0.198 and $0.185–0.190. Resistances: $0.215–0.220 and $0.230–0.235. Structure: decline. RSI is weak.
No entry.
- Long: above $0.215–0.220 with volume. Target $0.230–0.240. SL below $0.195.
- Short: below $0.195. Target $0.185–0.180. SL above $0.212.
Reduce position size.
Summary
There are practically no quality setups with R:R ≥ 1:2 at the moment. The best candidates to act after confirmation are SOL (key level $98.3) and XRP (conference + bank). The rest of the coins are either in the middle of their ranges or under pressure. Until the FOMC decision on October 28, it is recommended to reduce position size and wait for volume-supported closes.
#sol #xrp