⚡ Break $JST · SHORT confirmed by a closed 5m candle at the 0.1378 level.
close 0.1378 / level 0.1378 · volume 0.23× / benchmark 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $JST (JST/USDT) · bearish scenario · 15m context, 15m indicators, 5m trigger
📉 Event: a confirmed structural breakdown on 15m; the 5m retest has not yet occurred.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.13776 · 1h -0.24% · 24h -3.26%.
💧 Over 1h: volume $181,479.0822 · trades 3 211.
📊 M5 activity: volume $1,426.1061 · trades 44 · Activity score 25/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $172,063.5022 · spread 0.03%.
🛡️ DATA CHECK AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m passed · 15m passed.
⚠️ Market quality: error ❗
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks failed · volume below the minimum operational level; candle, volume, and level context are not aligned ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot · analytical hypothesis about possibly selling an asset already held in the Spot portfolio; no short position is opened.
🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE
🧭 Trigger status: breakout event published separately; a retest is required to confirm the setup.
📍 The historical Premium zone does not determine the entry; levels are based on the current market.
🔎 Trigger check:
🔵 Current entry: $0.13779.
🕯️ New 5m close below entry: pending ❗
💰 Last close: $0.13777.
🕯️ 5m candle context: ⚠️ No suitable bearish zone for candle confirmation · reason: · No confirmed zone in this direction. ❗
📉 SHORT context: price below EMA50 and VWAP (15m).
📐 Price below EMA 21 for the selected context.
📊 Indicators for the selected context:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.13861966 · price below
〽️ EMA 50: $0.13916589 · price below
〽️ EMA 200: $0.14040748 · price below
⚖️ VWAP: $0.14059864 · price below
🌡️ RSI 14: 27.9
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
🗓️ Higher-timeframe 1D filter: mixed structure · neutral context · major swing levels: support $0.13462 · resistance $0.14157. Higher-timeframe context is for reference; the current plan is based on price, ATR, and closed levels.
📐 24h Dealing Range: $0.13763–$0.14277 · EQ $0.1402 · price in Discount · source: closed 15m candles over 24h.
🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array found in the relevant half of the range ❗
💎 Premium/Discount remain contextual; the current SHORT plan is calculated independently of the historical Premium zone. ❗
🧭 Pilot Fibonacci SHORT model · 15m: impulse present; waiting for two closed countertrend candles.
📐 Downward impulse: $0.13914 → $0.13763 · structure break; body 7.29× median · volume 5.77× median.
↩️ Waiting for at least two consecutive closed countertrend candles; working zone 38.2–61.8%: $0.13820682–$0.13856318.
🧪 This is a separate observational model; a statistically confirmed probability has not yet been calculated.
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: current price $0.13779; a 5m close below is required for confirmation · waiting for confirmation.
🛑 SHORT stop/invalidation: 5m close above $0.13822071.
🎯 SHORT TP1 · 1R: $0.13766.
🏁 SHORT TP2 · 2R: $0.1373.
📍 SHORT plan recalculated from the current price; the historical Premium zone remains context only, not a mandatory retest.
🛑 Stop calculated using 5m ATR14: 2.64 ATR · undefined PLUS ATR BUFFER.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed downward impulses over 24h: 6 impulses.
🎲 Probability: numerical percentage not calculated — retest outcomes have not yet been collected and verified ❗
⚠️ Analytical draft, not a trading recommendation or an instruction to trade. Check levels against the chart and consider your own risk ❗
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