BTC: 4h favors SHORT, while entry timing still needs a return to the zone and a fresh 15m review.
🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT · ANALYSIS PLAN
Status: Wait for the retest; 15m confirmation pending.
The case
• Last closed 4h candle below EMA50 81397.3 and EMA200 82129.3; 1h trend bearish.
• 1h RSI 50.2: momentum is neutral.
• 15m DI+ 22.2 > DI− 14.5: against SHORT; ADX 12.0, limited trend strength.
The levels
Entry: 80003.3 – 80078.5
TP1: 79815.4 (-0.3% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 79769.9 (-0.3% | 0.90R) [4h swing]
TP3: 79668.6 (-0.5% | 1.24R) [1h swing]
SL: 80341.6 (+0.4%)
Percentages and R use the entry-zone midpoint, before costs.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then reassess a closed 15m candle.
Main risk: 15m ADX 12.0 shows limited trend strength; follow-through may stall.
Invalidation: SL 80341.6, 4h no longer supports SHORT, or 1h turns against it.
If triggered: 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3; move stop to entry after TP1.
TP1: R-based projections, not observed support/resistance.
Updated 26 Oct 13:13 UTC | Expires 26 Oct 13:43 UTC
Conditional market analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT · ANALYSIS PLAN
Status: Wait for the retest; 15m confirmation pending.
The case
• Last closed 4h candle below EMA50 81397.3 and EMA200 82129.3; 1h trend bearish.
• 1h RSI 50.2: momentum is neutral.
• 15m DI+ 22.2 > DI− 14.5: against SHORT; ADX 12.0, limited trend strength.
The levels
Entry: 80003.3 – 80078.5
TP1: 79815.4 (-0.3% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 79769.9 (-0.3% | 0.90R) [4h swing]
TP3: 79668.6 (-0.5% | 1.24R) [1h swing]
SL: 80341.6 (+0.4%)
Percentages and R use the entry-zone midpoint, before costs.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then reassess a closed 15m candle.
Main risk: 15m ADX 12.0 shows limited trend strength; follow-through may stall.
Invalidation: SL 80341.6, 4h no longer supports SHORT, or 1h turns against it.
If triggered: 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3; move stop to entry after TP1.
TP1: R-based projections, not observed support/resistance.
Updated 26 Oct 13:13 UTC | Expires 26 Oct 13:43 UTC
Conditional market analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
