#币安神算子 The easiest call of the week: I’ll give you the answer first—the Fed stays put at 2 a.m. Thursday (Beijing time).
CME now puts the odds of no change at 90.6%, with just 9.4% for a hike. A month ago, the odds of a hike were still 64%—sentiment has shifted pretty quickly. In a Reuters poll of 100 economists, 94 also bet on no change.
I’m betting on no change. The really interesting part will be Warsh’s press conference: he’s been unwilling to hint at what comes next, while all 100 economists are betting on a December hike. One turn of phrase could make $BTC and $QQQ twitch.
Which side are you on? Comment “no change” or “hike”—and feel free to weigh in on whether there’ll be a hike in December, too.
#美联储 #FOMC
Just my opinion, not advice; activity points have no cash value.
CME now puts the odds of no change at 90.6%, with just 9.4% for a hike. A month ago, the odds of a hike were still 64%—sentiment has shifted pretty quickly. In a Reuters poll of 100 economists, 94 also bet on no change.
I’m betting on no change. The really interesting part will be Warsh’s press conference: he’s been unwilling to hint at what comes next, while all 100 economists are betting on a December hike. One turn of phrase could make $BTC and $QQQ twitch.
Which side are you on? Comment “no change” or “hike”—and feel free to weigh in on whether there’ll be a hike in December, too.
#美联储 #FOMC
Just my opinion, not advice; activity points have no cash value.
