The dollar, Treasuries, and stocks—all in view today
Let’s finish reading the U.S. stock numbers first, then decide whether crypto will follow.
Technical levels are based on today’s highs and lows—not forced onto old support levels.
S&P 500 7,624 (5-day -0.47%, Yahoo)
10-year Treasury 4.99% (5-day -2.88%)
BTC 24h high 81034 / low 79221, current price 80345. S&P 500 -0.47%, Nasdaq -0.71%—the indices aren’t diverging. No divergence, so don’t make up sector narratives; wait for the next volume spike.
ETH 24h -0.79%, weaker than BTC -0.05%; exchange rate 0.02902. Money is contracting into BTC, so stay on the sidelines with altcoins for now.
There’s just one thing to watch in crypto: can BTC close above its 24h high of 81034? If it can’t, talk of following the rally is just hot air.
My position: watching from the sidelines. Price hasn’t picked a direction, and leverage hasn’t paid off. Opening a position now would be working for the exchange.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are not filled in.
When memes aren’t outperforming BTC, are you still holding them?
#美股 #技术面 #BTC
Useful info: OI is open notional, not trading volume.
Inspiration: 10-year yields are ticking up: valuation narratives take a back seat; for spot, stick to pullback entries.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are dashes):
BTC 80,345 -0.05% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,332 -0.79% ETH/BTC 0.02902
S&P 500 7,624 -0.47% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,955 -0.71% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.02% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.45 +5.48% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0076% Open interest 7.50B (24h -1.52) Long/short 2.0713 Binance USDⓈ-M
Supporting context: people are discussing “bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks” - Google News. I’m treating it only as background; the conclusion is still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources cited in the main text. Not an instruction to place an order.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Let’s finish reading the U.S. stock numbers first, then decide whether crypto will follow.
Technical levels are based on today’s highs and lows—not forced onto old support levels.
S&P 500 7,624 (5-day -0.47%, Yahoo)
10-year Treasury 4.99% (5-day -2.88%)
BTC 24h high 81034 / low 79221, current price 80345. S&P 500 -0.47%, Nasdaq -0.71%—the indices aren’t diverging. No divergence, so don’t make up sector narratives; wait for the next volume spike.
ETH 24h -0.79%, weaker than BTC -0.05%; exchange rate 0.02902. Money is contracting into BTC, so stay on the sidelines with altcoins for now.
There’s just one thing to watch in crypto: can BTC close above its 24h high of 81034? If it can’t, talk of following the rally is just hot air.
My position: watching from the sidelines. Price hasn’t picked a direction, and leverage hasn’t paid off. Opening a position now would be working for the exchange.
Data: Binance spot 24h / Binance USDⓈ-M / Yahoo daily (5-day change) / altme_fng / mempool_fees / defillama_chains / coingecko_trending. Missing numbers are not filled in.
When memes aren’t outperforming BTC, are you still holding them?
#美股 #技术面 #BTC
Useful info: OI is open notional, not trading volume.
Inspiration: 10-year yields are ticking up: valuation narratives take a back seat; for spot, stick to pullback entries.
Data card (same update as the main text; missing values are dashes):
BTC 80,345 -0.05% Binance spot 24h
ETH 2,332 -0.79% ETH/BTC 0.02902
S&P 500 7,624 -0.47% Yahoo 5-day
Nasdaq 25,955 -0.71% Yahoo 5-day
Dollar 102 +0.02% DXY 5-day
VIX 19.45 +5.48% Yahoo
Funding rate 0.0076% Open interest 7.50B (24h -1.52) Long/short 2.0713 Binance USDⓈ-M
Supporting context: people are discussing “bitcoin OR stock market OR U.S. stocks” - Google News. I’m treating it only as background; the conclusion is still based on the numbers in the main text.
Personal opinion; figures are from the sources cited in the main text. Not an instruction to place an order.
$BTC $ETH $SOL