Chasing $BTC Shorts Here? Guys, You Might Regret It... Read First! 🚨
Funding is slightly positive at 0.00343%, while OI is rising as $BTC drops. Taker sells are 5.7K vs 3.7K buys, and traders are still long-heavy. Bears have control, but a squeeze is still possible.
The 12H/24H liquidation maps show $78.8K–$79.1K below, with liquidity around $79.8K–$80.2K and $81.4K–$82.2K above.
Spot money flow is negative on 1H, 4H and 1D. Futures CVD dropped to -7.4M, spot CVD is also falling, and sellers are still agressive. Bearish, yes, but chasing after this sharp drop is risky.
BTC is stretched below VWAP and its short-term MAs. The volume spike near $79K leaves room for a bounce toward $80.2K or nearby liquidity, but it's not guaranteed.
Macro is still a concern. On Friday, Brent closed near $116.72 and WTI around $103.44, while US 2Y, 10Y and 30Y yields all rose roughly 4 bps. War-related uncertainty remains. Oil and Treasury markets are closed today for the weekend, so these are Friday prices, not fresh Saturday moves. BTC is still dropping despite the weekend closure, so don't assume the risk has disappeared.
👉 My take: A weekend recovery is possible after this sharp drop, with short covering and a bounce toward VWAP. I'd rather short a confirmed rejection than chase the low. My BTC short setup from 2 days ago worked well, so no need to rush, guys.
BTC SHORT PLAN
Current entry: $79.5K–$79.8K
Recommended entry: $80.2K–$80.5K
Max Bounce entry: $80.8K–$81K
TP1: $79.1K
TP2: $78.5K
TP3: $77.8K
SL: $81.5K
Guys, keep an eye on war headlines and oil prices. If tensions escalate again and oil jumps, bearish pressure on $BTC could increase. But if a positive de-escalation headline comes out tomorrow or Monday and oil drops, a sharp short squeeze is possible. Don't focus only on the chart; the next headline could change the move quickly.
@MeowAlert #EarningsSeason
Funding is slightly positive at 0.00343%, while OI is rising as $BTC drops. Taker sells are 5.7K vs 3.7K buys, and traders are still long-heavy. Bears have control, but a squeeze is still possible.
The 12H/24H liquidation maps show $78.8K–$79.1K below, with liquidity around $79.8K–$80.2K and $81.4K–$82.2K above.
Spot money flow is negative on 1H, 4H and 1D. Futures CVD dropped to -7.4M, spot CVD is also falling, and sellers are still agressive. Bearish, yes, but chasing after this sharp drop is risky.
BTC is stretched below VWAP and its short-term MAs. The volume spike near $79K leaves room for a bounce toward $80.2K or nearby liquidity, but it's not guaranteed.
Macro is still a concern. On Friday, Brent closed near $116.72 and WTI around $103.44, while US 2Y, 10Y and 30Y yields all rose roughly 4 bps. War-related uncertainty remains. Oil and Treasury markets are closed today for the weekend, so these are Friday prices, not fresh Saturday moves. BTC is still dropping despite the weekend closure, so don't assume the risk has disappeared.
👉 My take: A weekend recovery is possible after this sharp drop, with short covering and a bounce toward VWAP. I'd rather short a confirmed rejection than chase the low. My BTC short setup from 2 days ago worked well, so no need to rush, guys.
BTC SHORT PLAN
Current entry: $79.5K–$79.8K
Recommended entry: $80.2K–$80.5K
Max Bounce entry: $80.8K–$81K
TP1: $79.1K
TP2: $78.5K
TP3: $77.8K
SL: $81.5K
Guys, keep an eye on war headlines and oil prices. If tensions escalate again and oil jumps, bearish pressure on $BTC could increase. But if a positive de-escalation headline comes out tomorrow or Monday and oil drops, a sharp short squeeze is possible. Don't focus only on the chart; the next headline could change the move quickly.
@MeowAlert #EarningsSeason
