❗️🇮🇷#Iran #geopolitics

Some experts believe Trump could still strike Iran before November 3, since the midterm elections are already lost and he has nothing more to lose.

Other experts point out that the Senate is at stake. According to the consensus, Trump has already lost the House, but the Senate is still up for grabs. If Republicans lose control of both the House and the Senate, it could make life even harder for Trump after November 3. Therefore, a new military operation against Iran could be postponed until after the elections.

There is also Netanyahu, who is believed to have a strong influence on Trump’s Iran policy. Israel’s parliamentary elections will take place on October 27. A strike on Iran before that date would strengthen Netanyahu’s party’s position in the election...

Both Trump and Netanyahu say that no new military operation against Iran is planned before the election.

In any case, the US continues to actively build up its military presence in the region, while Israel has significantly increased its military aviation activity over the past week.

Whatever the case, building up a military presence near Iran is a very costly undertaking, and such deployments are generally not made just to intimidate, experts say.

Iranian journalists report unprecedentedly high levels of US and Israeli military aviation activity across the Middle East. The IRGC says it is stepping up preparations for a new attack and considers it inevitable.

Trump recently said that he could go “a little further” with regard to Iran and did not rule out a new military operation, saying that Iran was unlikely to reach a deal.

Netanyahu recently said he had information that Iran wanted to attack Israel before the October 27 election.

Judging by oil prices, the market is clearly bracing for new shocks.