Prediction markets have turned short-term sentiment into tradable contracts.
According to reports, the notional trading volume of crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket totaled around $2.7 billion last week, setting a record. Bets on Bitcoin’s price moves over 15-minute intervals were especially active. Capital is split between “directional bets” and “event bets”; leverage and settlement rules are more transparent than in spot markets, and sentiment can amplify them more easily.
Reminder: Record trading volume signals rising participation, but it does not automatically confirm the start of a major rally. Short-term contracts are more like a sentiment gauge—when volatility increases, first consider whether you can handle the settlement pace before deciding whether to follow the crowd.
#BTC #预测市场 #Kalshi #Polymarket
According to reports, the notional trading volume of crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket totaled around $2.7 billion last week, setting a record. Bets on Bitcoin’s price moves over 15-minute intervals were especially active. Capital is split between “directional bets” and “event bets”; leverage and settlement rules are more transparent than in spot markets, and sentiment can amplify them more easily.
Reminder: Record trading volume signals rising participation, but it does not automatically confirm the start of a major rally. Short-term contracts are more like a sentiment gauge—when volatility increases, first consider whether you can handle the settlement pace before deciding whether to follow the crowd.
#BTC #预测市场 #Kalshi #Polymarket