⚡ $SEI · SHORT scenario target reached.
close 0.0579 / level 0.0581 · volume 8.82× / benchmark 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $SEI (SEI/USDT) · bearish scenario · 15m context, 15m indicators, 5m trigger
📍 Scenario: plan built from the current price; waiting for a new 5m candle to close below the entry.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.05805 · 1h -0.45% · 24h -8.13%.
💧 Over 1h: volume $609,962.3198 · trades 4 713.
📊 M5 activity: volume $15,755.7682 · trades 337 · Activity Score 41/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $334,309.9392 · spread 0.02%.
🛡️ DATA CHECK AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m passed · 15m passed.
✅ Market quality: passed.
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · required checks failed · potential profit is below the minimum reward/risk ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot · analytical hypothesis about the possible sale of an asset already held in the Spot portfolio; no short position is being opened.
🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE
🧭 Trigger status: entry recalculated from the current price; waiting for a new 5m candle to close below this level.
📍 The historical Premium zone does not determine the entry; levels are based on the current market.
🔎 Trigger check:
🔵 Current entry: $0.05808.
🕯️ New 5m close below entry: pending ❗
💰 Last close: no data ❗
🕯️ 5m candle context: ⚠️ No suitable bearish zone for candle validation · reason: · No confirmed zone in this direction. ❗
📉 SHORT context: price below EMA50 and VWAP (15m).
📐 Price below EMA 21 for the selected context.
📊 Indicators for the selected context:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.0583171 · price below
〽️ EMA 50: $0.0590672 · price below
〽️ EMA 200: $0.06070278 · price below
⚖️ VWAP: $0.06121667 · price below
🌡️ RSI 14: 39.5
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
🗓️ Higher timeframe filter 1D: mixed structure · neutral context · major swing levels: support $0.05935 · resistance $0.0642. Higher timeframe context is for reference; the current plan is based on price, ATR, and closed levels.
📐 24h Dealing Range: $0.05735–$0.06406 · EQ $0.060705 · price in Discount · source: closed 15m candles over 24h.
🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array found in the required half of the range ❗
💎 Premium/Discount remain contextual; the current SHORT plan is calculated independently of the historical Premium zone. ❗
🧭 Pilot Fibonacci SHORT model · 15m: correction in the working zone; waiting for a break of its structure.
📐 Downward impulse: $0.0588 → $0.05735 · structure break; body 4.50× median · volume 2.66× median.
↩️ Correction: 2 countertrend candles · depth 63.4% · 38.2–61.8% zone ($0.0579039–$0.0582461).
🔵 Confirmation: 15m close below $0.05768.
🛑 Pilot scenario invalidation: 15m close above $0.0584897 (78.6% of the impulse).
🧪 This is a separate observational model; its statistically confirmed probability has not yet been calculated.
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: current price $0.05808; a 5m close below is required for confirmation · waiting for confirmation.
🛑 SHORT stop/invalidation: 5m close above $0.05849893.
🎯 SHORT TP1 · 1R: $0.058065.
🏁 SHORT TP2 · 2R: $0.058.
📍 The SHORT plan has been recalculated from the current price; the historical Premium zone remains context only, not a required retest.
🛑 Stop calculated using ATR14 5m: 1.50 ATR · undefined PLUS ATR BUFFER.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed downward impulses over 24h: 6 impulses.
🎲 Probability: no numerical percentage calculated — retest outcomes have not yet been accumulated and verified ❗
⚠️ Analytical draft, not a trading recommendation or an instruction to trade. Check the levels against the chart and account for your own risk ❗
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