生蚝哥Oyster

Good things are on their way✨

May everything you hope for draw closer, little by little,
and everything you dream of arrive right on time.
The good fortune that hasn’t found you yet
is already on its way.

Believe this:
You deserve to be treated with tenderness,
and you deserve to find all the beauty life has to offer.

Wishing you:
May you follow your heart, wherever it leads;
may every hope of yours finally bloom.

Good things are happening, and more are on their way.
May luck wrap you in a gentle embrace.

Bitcoin is holding steady in a **$81,000–$82,000** range, with the total crypto market cap at around **$2.74 trillion**. Prices have fluctuated slightly over the past 24 hours, while BTC’s market share has climbed back above 60%. Ethereum is a little weaker, dipping below or hovering around $2,400. Weekend liquidity is thin, and the overall market is mostly moving sideways.

What’s really grabbing attention:

1. U.S. spot ETFs continue to “bleed”
Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $1 billion in net outflows over the past two weeks. Ethereum ETFs had more than $300 million in outflows last week—an even bigger hit than BTC. “Uptober” has turned into “Red October,” with institutional investors clearly holding back or even pulling out.
2. Michael Saylor is “hinting” at another big buy
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) now holds around 848,000 BTC, and Saylor posted an image hinting that another purchase may be on the way. The old bull is still quietly piling up coins—a stark contrast with short-term market sentiment.
3. Traditional giants keep moving in
Deutsche Bank has officially entered the crypto custody business, covering Bitcoin and Ethereum. Wall Street banks are talking cautiously while quietly building infrastructure—a classic case of “actions speak louder than words.”
4. Security incidents keep piling up
The Qubic wallet was drained of around $1.3 million, and the Cysic bridge was attacked, among other incidents. A reminder: hackers may show up before the bull market does.

### My take

Honestly, the most striking thing about the market right now isn’t a dramatic surge or crash—it’s the divide.

On one side, ETF outflows continue, inflation data is running hot, and expectations for rate cuts are cooling, making short-term investors cautious. On the other, long-term believers like Saylor keep buying, while banks accelerate their plans for custody and tokenization. This pattern of “short-term money heading out, long-term money flowing in” is often a period of accumulation ahead of a major move—not the final stage of a bear market.

Personally, I’m more optimistic about what lies ahead. Bitcoin has pulled back more than 30% from its all-time high, and support around $80,000 looks fairly solid. As long as the Fed doesn’t suddenly turn much more hawkish, there’s a decent chance we’ll test higher levels again before year-end. Altcoins are generally weaker right now, with capital clearly rotating back into BTC. Altcoin season is still a long way off.

As for trading: don’t get carried away over the weekend, keep your position size under control, and prioritize protecting your core holdings. The real opportunities often come when everyone thinks the market is “boring, moving sideways, and lacking a catalyst.”

What do you think? Is this a good time to buy the dip, or should we keep waiting? Join the discussion.

🔥 “Uptober” has turned into “Downtober.” BTC holds above $81,000 as quantum threats and a hardware wallet scandal hit at the same time.

The crypto market is broadly weak. Total market cap has fallen to around $2.75–$2.84 trillion, down 1%–3% over the past 24 hours. BTC is hovering around $81,500, down less than 1%; ETH is around $2,420–$2,430, also edging lower. Liquidations are still around $200 million, with longs continuing to get wiped out.

The biggest disappointment is that “Uptober” has completely failed to deliver. Historically, October has often been a strong month for BTC, but so far this year BTC is down nearly 4%, falling from around $84,800 at the start of the month to where it is now. ETH, XRP, and SOL are down more than 10%. Macroeconomic pressures are the main cause: hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data, fading expectations of Fed rate cuts, a sell-off in AI tech stocks, and rising oil prices have weighed on risk assets across the board. ETFs are also seeing continued outflows, and institutional buying has slowed noticeably.

- Quantum threats are escalating: Nine crypto companies have formed the “Quantum Alliance” to address the potential risks quantum computing poses to the security of BTC and ETH public keys. This isn’t scaremongering—in the long run, it’s a real issue, though in the short term it’s more of a sentiment shock.
- The Ledger hardware wallet scandal resurfaces: A researcher has alleged that Ledger received a report about malicious hardware implants as early as late 2025, and confirmed an investigation in March this year. Hardware wallets are supposed to be the “last line of defense” for security, but trust has taken another hit.

In the short term, the market is seeing “choppy trading at elevated levels + leverage flushes.” The $80,000 support level is holding for now, suggesting that big players are still buying the dip, but a quick return to the highs will be challenging. What will really determine the direction is the Fed’s rate path and inflation data. If interest rates stay high for even longer, crypto will find it hard to escape the pressure.

I remain bullish over the long term. The narrative of BTC as digital gold hasn’t changed, and institutional custody and ETF infrastructure continue to improve. Quantum threats and hardware security issues may actually push the industry to upgrade, ultimately benefiting projects with genuine technological moats.

At these levels, instead of chasing rallies and panic-selling, it’s better to manage your positions carefully. Those who can weather this “fake Uptober” are often the ones who really reap the rewards in the next cycle. Markets always reward patience, not emotion.

Come here and chat

Tesla’s New Roadster Really Flew: Engineering Showcase or Glimpse of the Future?

Today’s hottest Tesla story is the next-generation Roadster unveiled at SpaceX’s test site in Texas.

This supercar, delayed for nearly a decade, has finally become more than a PowerPoint presentation. In a live demonstration, it used SpaceX cold-gas thrusters to go from 0 to 60 mph in under a second (about 0.81 seconds), flip in midair, jump over a row of semi-trucks, and even drive upside down. Tesla shares surged 4–5% in premarket trading. Musk says production won’t begin until 2028. The price hasn’t been set, but it’s sure to be an ultra-high-end toy.

First and foremost, this is a top-tier engineering showcase—and the best advertisement yet for collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX. Cold-gas thrusters aren’t sci-fi special effects; they’re real aerospace technology brought down to the automotive level. Turning the “cars can fly” meme into a controlled demonstration shows that Tesla still has an edge in extreme performance and systems integration. For those who say Tesla does nothing but tell stories, this is a resounding slap in the face.

But it will do little for Tesla’s core business. However cool the Roadster may be, it’s still a low-volume halo product. Even a few thousand sales would be a lot, and its contribution to overall deliveries and profits will be negligible. Robotaxi, Optimus, and energy remain the real pillars supporting Tesla’s valuation. This launch feels more like a reminder to the market that Tesla’s moat isn’t just software: its hardware engineering is formidable too, and collaboration across companies (Tesla + SpaceX) is accelerating. That’s also rekindled speculation about a merger, which analysts at Barclays and others have raised.

Looking at it rationally, 2028 is still a long way off, and regulation, cost, and reliability are all unknowns. The flying capability will most likely be limited to a demonstration version or an optional package—something ordinary people won’t be able to buy or use. But the message is clear: Tesla is still trying to redefine the boundaries of what a “car” can be, rather than just competing on price and range.

I like companies that dare to put on a show like this. As electric vehicles become increasingly alike, it’s much more interesting to see something that genuinely takes your breath away once in a while than to watch endless price cuts and feature wars.

What do you think? Is this the real future, or just another marketing frenzy?

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