#EarningsSeason 🚨 Tesla and Meta both beat expectations. But both gave back their opening gains.
📌 Reports (Oct 21, after the close)
$TSLA: Revenue $28.05B (flat, consensus $28.34B). Operating profit $718M, -56%, margin 2.6%. Gross margin 16.8%→19.6% (good). GAAP net income $787M, -43%. Non-GAAP EPS $0.48 vs. $0.45 (beat). Deliveries 486,532 (-2.1%). Reason: spending on AI + Optimus.
$META: Revenue $64.60B (+26%, consensus $63.3B) and EPS $3.83 vs. $3.57 (beat) — but that includes a $9.89B legal provision; excluding it, EPS was $7.40. Operating profit $12.99B, -37%, margin 40%→20%. Free cash flow -$2.12B (capex $34.91B). Q4 guidance $73–76B. 2-for-1 split + Class C.
📉 Oct 21, 20:00 UTC candle = first 4 hours after the reports (Binance spot tokenized stocks)
TSLAB: 386.49 → peak 395.11 → 373.94 (-3.3%), volume $4.5M (4x). Now 368.12 → 4.8% below pre-report levels.
METAB: 698.54 → peak 748.00 (+7.1%!) → 712.90 → 705.64 → 704.80 → now 690.93: 1.1% below pre-report levels.
META's entire 7% after-hours jump evaporated. Neither "beat" brought in buyers — the common reason is the same: AI capex is eating into profits.
🔗 Crypto angle
TSLAB/METAB now trade 24/7 on Binance spot (TSLAB 24h volume $10.9M, METAB $2.4M): you can catch the post-report reaction on crypto rails, even after the stock market closes. Bitcoin $81,973 (-1.4%), ETH $2,410 (-1.7%) — the "beat" didn't bring back risk appetite. The Oct 28 Fed decision is approaching.
🎯 My post-report rule: don't chase the first candle; wait for the retest the next day.
• $TSLA: A close above 373.37 (EMA12) → target 386.49. Below that, if 364.93 (SMA50) breaks, 352.73. I'm leaning short, stop 374.
• $META: Above 701.84 (EMA12) → 714.96 (SMA50). If 688.26 (lower BB) breaks, 682.59. I'm leaning long, stop 686.
Position size 1–2%, no leverage.
📌 Question: stocks sold in the first 4 hours and bought the next day? I'm leaning toward buying $META and selling $TSLA — do you agree?
#TSLA #META #BinanceSquare
📌 Reports (Oct 21, after the close)
$TSLA: Revenue $28.05B (flat, consensus $28.34B). Operating profit $718M, -56%, margin 2.6%. Gross margin 16.8%→19.6% (good). GAAP net income $787M, -43%. Non-GAAP EPS $0.48 vs. $0.45 (beat). Deliveries 486,532 (-2.1%). Reason: spending on AI + Optimus.
$META: Revenue $64.60B (+26%, consensus $63.3B) and EPS $3.83 vs. $3.57 (beat) — but that includes a $9.89B legal provision; excluding it, EPS was $7.40. Operating profit $12.99B, -37%, margin 40%→20%. Free cash flow -$2.12B (capex $34.91B). Q4 guidance $73–76B. 2-for-1 split + Class C.
📉 Oct 21, 20:00 UTC candle = first 4 hours after the reports (Binance spot tokenized stocks)
TSLAB: 386.49 → peak 395.11 → 373.94 (-3.3%), volume $4.5M (4x). Now 368.12 → 4.8% below pre-report levels.
METAB: 698.54 → peak 748.00 (+7.1%!) → 712.90 → 705.64 → 704.80 → now 690.93: 1.1% below pre-report levels.
META's entire 7% after-hours jump evaporated. Neither "beat" brought in buyers — the common reason is the same: AI capex is eating into profits.
🔗 Crypto angle
TSLAB/METAB now trade 24/7 on Binance spot (TSLAB 24h volume $10.9M, METAB $2.4M): you can catch the post-report reaction on crypto rails, even after the stock market closes. Bitcoin $81,973 (-1.4%), ETH $2,410 (-1.7%) — the "beat" didn't bring back risk appetite. The Oct 28 Fed decision is approaching.
🎯 My post-report rule: don't chase the first candle; wait for the retest the next day.
• $TSLA: A close above 373.37 (EMA12) → target 386.49. Below that, if 364.93 (SMA50) breaks, 352.73. I'm leaning short, stop 374.
• $META: Above 701.84 (EMA12) → 714.96 (SMA50). If 688.26 (lower BB) breaks, 682.59. I'm leaning long, stop 686.
Position size 1–2%, no leverage.
📌 Question: stocks sold in the first 4 hours and bought the next day? I'm leaning toward buying $META and selling $TSLA — do you agree?
#TSLA #META #BinanceSquare