There’s a price-spread arbitrage opportunity with Predict worth keeping an eye on.
The Aster pre-market contract PREDICTUSDT is currently priced at 1.72. Based on the default total supply of 1 billion, that implies an FDV of 1.72 billion.
The Aspecta Predict (V3 Pool) page directly shows a market cap of 1.31 billion.
That’s an implied market cap gap of 410 million between the two, with Aster about 31% higher than Aspecta.
So, in theory, you could short on Aster_DEX and buy on aspecta_ai, then capture the 31% spread when predictdotfun’s TGE happens.
But since this is pre-market, liquidity for Aster’s contract is poor, so a short squeeze could happen easily.
Anyone interested can keep an eye on it. There’ll probably be an opportunity later.
By the way, is there some risk I haven’t considered? Why does it feel like nobody’s doing this arbitrage?
When’s the TGE, experts? dingalingts yuexiaoyu TC8880 ricardogee
The Aster pre-market contract PREDICTUSDT is currently priced at 1.72. Based on the default total supply of 1 billion, that implies an FDV of 1.72 billion.
The Aspecta Predict (V3 Pool) page directly shows a market cap of 1.31 billion.
That’s an implied market cap gap of 410 million between the two, with Aster about 31% higher than Aspecta.
So, in theory, you could short on Aster_DEX and buy on aspecta_ai, then capture the 31% spread when predictdotfun’s TGE happens.
But since this is pre-market, liquidity for Aster’s contract is poor, so a short squeeze could happen easily.
Anyone interested can keep an eye on it. There’ll probably be an opportunity later.
By the way, is there some risk I haven’t considered? Why does it feel like nobody’s doing this arbitrage?
When’s the TGE, experts? dingalingts yuexiaoyu TC8880 ricardogee
