On Polymarket, the “Yes” probability for the November 15 submarket of the “U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Holds” event dropped from 52.5% one hour ago to 35.5%, a decline of 17 percentage points. According to ChainCatcher, the market probability saw a sharp change.
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Polymarket Odds for November 15 U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Submarket Fall 17 Points
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