【European Session Update | 10.21】False breakdown confirmed; BTC reclaims the top of its old range
Last night’s scenario: After breaking below 81,600, hold the two steps at 80,000 and 79,700; a decisive break below 80,000 would open the way to 78,000. Here are three points from the live market:
1. Confirmed: Bears stalled at 81,197 last night and didn’t even reach 80,100. Neither support level was breached, and the 80,000 line held.
2. Invalidated: At 22:00, during the U.S. session, heavy volume drove price from 81,496 to 83,184 in one hour (+2.1%). Funds in today’s European session followed through without pushing it back down. BTC is now at 83,071 (+2.02% over 24h), reclaiming 81,600—the breakdown yesterday was a bear trap, a false breakdown. If you reduced your position under your breakdown rules, there’s no shame in buying back after the level is reclaimed.
3. Revised outlook: Back in its old 81,600–83,100 range, price is now near the upper boundary. A hold above 83,100 puts 84,000 in view; if it fails to hold, continue selling near the top and buying near the bottom of the range, with pullback support at 82,300 and 81,600. ETH also reclaimed 2,388 and is now at 2,452 (+2.96% over 24h). ETH/BTC has edged up to 0.0295. Resistance is at 2,475 and 2,550 (the 50-day moving average), with support at 2,400.
Last night’s rally was driven by real buying during the U.S. session. The European session held those gains instead of selling them back, suggesting the handover of positions was successful. But don’t chase longs before a high-volume breakout above the range ceiling. Watch the Nasdaq at 21:30 tonight. With earnings announcements in full swing and the FOMC meeting on the 28th, keep position sizes below the mid-range.
Three hard rules: 1. This is solely a record of my personal live trading and is not investment advice; you are responsible for your own profits and losses. 2. Every trade must have a hard stop-loss. 3. Never hold on to a losing position—staying alive means you can fight another day. Motto: Don’t chase rallies, don’t get attached to breakdowns, discipline first.
#BTC #ETH #实盘记录 #欧盘
Last night’s scenario: After breaking below 81,600, hold the two steps at 80,000 and 79,700; a decisive break below 80,000 would open the way to 78,000. Here are three points from the live market:
1. Confirmed: Bears stalled at 81,197 last night and didn’t even reach 80,100. Neither support level was breached, and the 80,000 line held.
2. Invalidated: At 22:00, during the U.S. session, heavy volume drove price from 81,496 to 83,184 in one hour (+2.1%). Funds in today’s European session followed through without pushing it back down. BTC is now at 83,071 (+2.02% over 24h), reclaiming 81,600—the breakdown yesterday was a bear trap, a false breakdown. If you reduced your position under your breakdown rules, there’s no shame in buying back after the level is reclaimed.
3. Revised outlook: Back in its old 81,600–83,100 range, price is now near the upper boundary. A hold above 83,100 puts 84,000 in view; if it fails to hold, continue selling near the top and buying near the bottom of the range, with pullback support at 82,300 and 81,600. ETH also reclaimed 2,388 and is now at 2,452 (+2.96% over 24h). ETH/BTC has edged up to 0.0295. Resistance is at 2,475 and 2,550 (the 50-day moving average), with support at 2,400.
Last night’s rally was driven by real buying during the U.S. session. The European session held those gains instead of selling them back, suggesting the handover of positions was successful. But don’t chase longs before a high-volume breakout above the range ceiling. Watch the Nasdaq at 21:30 tonight. With earnings announcements in full swing and the FOMC meeting on the 28th, keep position sizes below the mid-range.
Three hard rules: 1. This is solely a record of my personal live trading and is not investment advice; you are responsible for your own profits and losses. 2. Every trade must have a hard stop-loss. 3. Never hold on to a losing position—staying alive means you can fight another day. Motto: Don’t chase rallies, don’t get attached to breakdowns, discipline first.
#BTC #ETH #实盘记录 #欧盘