【Midday Update｜10.21】The breakdown scenario isn’t over: reclaimed 81,600, now facing another test of 83,100 this morning
No 08:00 update this morning, so this post goes straight through last night’s revised European-session plan, point by point:
1. Confirmed: We didn’t try to catch a falling knife after the breakdown; discipline held. Last night’s low was 81,198, never even touching the first 80,100 step, and the key 80,000 level held. “A confirmed break below 80,000 opens the way to 78,000” was not triggered, so the 78,000 card stays in the drawer.
2. Invalidated: Last night’s European-session call for a “lowered range of 80,000–81,600” is void. After the US session opened at 21:30, funds pushed prices straight back up. The high reached 83,323 at 22:00, reclaiming 81,600. The actual trading range is back to 81,600–83,100, matching the range in the day-before-yesterday morning post.
3. Still undecided: Resistance at 83,100. Last night’s 83,323 and this morning’s 83,143 were two tests and two rejections within 24 hours; neither held. The old rule—“only look to 84,000 after holding above 83,100”—still applies. Reclaiming 81,600 once doesn’t mean a reversal; don’t chase the rebound.
ETH in sync: Last night’s European-session call that “2,388 has broken, with 2,350/2,300 next” was invalidated. ETH reclaimed 2,388 and is now at 2,444, right at resistance at 2,443; the morning high was 2,462. ETH/BTC is at 0.0296, turning up for the first time after a string of declines, but it has only just reached resistance, so the view is unchanged: prioritize reducing exposure on weak rebounds.
What to watch at 3 p.m.:
1. Whether funds in the European session at 16:00 accept positions above 82,000;
2. Whether the third test of 83,100 holds—only then talk about 84,000;
3. Follow the Nasdaq’s lead when US stocks open at 21:30 tonight. Tesla and Meta earnings after the close, and the FOMC on the 28th: with events packed in, the rule to keep positions below the light-to-medium range remains unchanged.
24h: BTC +0.82%, ETH +1.37%.
Three iron rules: 1. This is only a personal live-trading record, not investment advice; you are responsible for your own profits and losses. 2. Every trade must have a hard stop-loss. 3. Never hold and hope—stay alive for the next battle. Motto: Don’t chase rebounds, don’t get attached after a breakdown, discipline comes first.
#BTC #ETH #实盘记录 #午间
No 08:00 update this morning, so this post goes straight through last night’s revised European-session plan, point by point:
1. Confirmed: We didn’t try to catch a falling knife after the breakdown; discipline held. Last night’s low was 81,198, never even touching the first 80,100 step, and the key 80,000 level held. “A confirmed break below 80,000 opens the way to 78,000” was not triggered, so the 78,000 card stays in the drawer.
2. Invalidated: Last night’s European-session call for a “lowered range of 80,000–81,600” is void. After the US session opened at 21:30, funds pushed prices straight back up. The high reached 83,323 at 22:00, reclaiming 81,600. The actual trading range is back to 81,600–83,100, matching the range in the day-before-yesterday morning post.
3. Still undecided: Resistance at 83,100. Last night’s 83,323 and this morning’s 83,143 were two tests and two rejections within 24 hours; neither held. The old rule—“only look to 84,000 after holding above 83,100”—still applies. Reclaiming 81,600 once doesn’t mean a reversal; don’t chase the rebound.
ETH in sync: Last night’s European-session call that “2,388 has broken, with 2,350/2,300 next” was invalidated. ETH reclaimed 2,388 and is now at 2,444, right at resistance at 2,443; the morning high was 2,462. ETH/BTC is at 0.0296, turning up for the first time after a string of declines, but it has only just reached resistance, so the view is unchanged: prioritize reducing exposure on weak rebounds.
What to watch at 3 p.m.:
1. Whether funds in the European session at 16:00 accept positions above 82,000;
2. Whether the third test of 83,100 holds—only then talk about 84,000;
3. Follow the Nasdaq’s lead when US stocks open at 21:30 tonight. Tesla and Meta earnings after the close, and the FOMC on the 28th: with events packed in, the rule to keep positions below the light-to-medium range remains unchanged.
24h: BTC +0.82%, ETH +1.37%.
Three iron rules: 1. This is only a personal live-trading record, not investment advice; you are responsible for your own profits and losses. 2. Every trade must have a hard stop-loss. 3. Never hold and hope—stay alive for the next battle. Motto: Don’t chase rebounds, don’t get attached after a breakdown, discipline comes first.
#BTC #ETH #实盘记录 #午间