Wall Street Giants Enter en Masse, and the Boundary Between Traditional Finance and Crypto Markets Is Disappearing

I. JPMorgan Makes a Two-Pronged Push as Wall Street Embraces On-Chain Settlement

On October 19, JPMorgan officially deployed its dollar deposit token, JPMD, to the Ethereum mainnet, marking another major expansion following its launch on the Base network. Data shows that Kinexys, JPMorgan’s platform, processes approximately $7 billion in transactions per day, while BlackRock’s on-chain dollar token, BUIDL, is also operating on Ethereum. This means that Wall Street’s top financial institutions are using Ethereum as next-generation settlement infrastructure, rather than simply watching from the sidelines.

At the same time, JPMorgan Asset Management released a landmark report on long-term capital market assumptions, including Bitcoin for the first time in 31 years. The report forecasts a compound annualized return of 10% for Bitcoin over the next decade, exceeding the 7.5% forecast for large-cap U.S. stocks, 8.2% for real estate investment trusts, and 5.5% for gold. However, the report also acknowledged that Bitcoin’s high volatility means it is still unsuitable as a diversification tool for traditional portfolios.

II. Bitcoin ETF Buying Frenzy as Institutional Demand Continues to Surge

On the same day JPMorgan released its report, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $527 million. BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $665 million in a single day, reaching a recent high. Heavy buying pushed Bitcoin’s price from a low of $81,487 to as high as $83,277. The MACD indicator turned positive, and whale wallets accumulated approximately 89,000 Bitcoin over the past month.

From a fund-flow perspective, institutions’ appetite for Bitcoin allocations is shifting from exploratory to strategic. BlackRock also filed an application for a buffered Bitcoin ETF, PBIT, which uses options strategies to provide approximately 10% downside protection in exchange for capped upside returns. This structured product targets risk-averse investors and could expand the audience for Bitcoin ETFs beyond crypto-native users to a broader pool of traditional investors.

III. Tokenized U.S. Stocks Gain Momentum, Ushering in a New Era of On-Chain Trading

Against the backdrop of Wall Street embracing blockchain, the development of tokenized U.S. stocks is also attracting attention. Tokens representing several U.S. stocks, including Moderna and Li Ning, are now available on BNB Chain and Ethereum, allowing investors to trade traditional equity assets on-chain around the clock. This trend follows the same logic as JPMorgan bringing JPM Coin to the Ethereum mainnet, and points in the same direction: traditional financial assets are moving on-chain at an accelerating pace.

The significance of tokenized U.S. stocks lies in removing traditional trading-hour and geographic restrictions, allowing investors around the world to participate in the U.S. stock market with lower barriers and greater speed. As more financial institutions and asset managers enter this space, on-chain stock trading could become a key part of the financial market infrastructure of the future.

IV. Market Outlook and Risk Warning

In the current market environment, institutional participation is reshaping the underlying dynamics of the crypto market. Bitcoin is no longer merely a speculative instrument for retail investors; it is gradually becoming part of institutional asset allocation. However, it is worth noting that the RSI has pulled back after touching the upper Bollinger Band, while spot-market demand remains relatively weak. Bitcoin may consolidate in the $81,000–$83,000 range in the short term.

In addition, the Drift Protocol hacker recently transferred approximately $61 million worth of Ethereum through Tornado Cash and still holds around $194 million in stolen assets. This incident is another reminder that the security risks of decentralized finance should not be overlooked.

Investors should monitor institutional fund flows and policy changes at this stage, take a measured view of market volatility, and manage risk while keeping track of broader trends.

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