Google’s Willow quantum chip makes the cover of *Science*: magic-state error rates down 40-fold, with 99.99% fidelity—but only 8% of experiments met the benchmark. Its 105 qubits are still a whole galaxy short of the 500,000 needed to crack Bitcoin; 6.04 million coins with exposed public keys are shaking in their boots. Prediction markets have put the odds of “cracking $BTC by the end of 2027” at 11% (to be clear: those are betting-market odds, not a scientific conclusion). The camps: Team A is moving coins to new addresses overnight; Team B scoffs, “The wolf comes every year—paper publication day is just FUD harvest day.” Which side are you on: A, better safe than sorry, or B, using papers to scare retail investors again?

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