$BTC has been fluctuating repeatedly within the 81000–84000 range recently. This reminds me of the earlier back-and-forth movement between 76000 and 79000, which eventually ended with a sharp drop and kicked off a rally. In my personal view, there are roughly two possibilities over the next month:

One is that it first breaks above 85000 and climbs toward 90000, then falls back to fluctuate within the 75000–80000 range, before finding a bottom and support to start another rally. The other is that, after a few more days of choppy trading, it breaks below 80000, consolidates around 78000, and then continues to fall toward 75000.

If it really does pull back into the 75000–80000 range, I think that could be a good opportunity to enter for a second time. Of course, this is only my personal projection and doesn’t mean the market will necessarily follow this script.

The crypto market is strongly cyclical, but short-term fluctuations and long-term trends are two different things. No one can predict every move accurately. What really matters isn’t guessing every high and low, but trying to improve your entry and exit points and reduce ineffective positions and the repeated stress of choppy markets.

If you’re optimistic about what’s ahead for the cryptocurrency market and are willing to hold for two or three years, you have to accept short-term bull and bear cycles along the way, as well as major drawdowns. Long-term holding doesn’t guarantee a profit, but compared with chasing rallies and panic-selling, it at least relies more on logic than emotion.