$BTC BTC ends the day at 81,759.05 USDT, up +0.34%, while ETH is down -0.47%, SOL -0.83%, and BNB -0.13%. My view: I’d wait before chasing a rally. The key figure is reported volume compared with the seven-day average: -95% for BTC, -96% for ETH, -94% for SOL, and -95% for BNB. With participation this low, price resilience still doesn’t confirm buying strength.

The biggest gains were AVA (+33.1%), GTC (+27.9%), EPIC (+23.3%), and ERA (+16.1%); the steepest declines were STRK (-13.1%), BAT (-10.0%), and PYTH (-9.9%). This is dispersion, not a broad market rally. What drove these moves? The data shows the results, but doesn’t include verifiable catalysts or individual trading volumes to explain them. Attributing them to announcements or capital inflows would be making things up. My take is that these isolated jumps aren’t enough to call it a general recovery.

The conversation also touches on #NasdaqDowWeeklyGapWidestSinceJuly2002, but a trend on Square doesn’t prove what caused today’s moves. I prefer to compare the noise with the underlying structure: BTC’s 4-hour RSI is at 47; ETH is at 43, SOL at 42, and BNB at 41. None of those readings offers a clear bullish momentum signal.

In P2P, USDT took different paths. In Peru, it stood at 3.46 soles, up 0.44% daily and 0.55% weekly. In Venezuela, it reached 1,001.37 Bs, down 0.20% daily and 1.22% weekly. These are averages for moving 1,000 USDT, not guaranteed prices for every order. The Venezuelan premium over the BCV rate of 881.07 Bs remains at 13.7%: a decline during the day doesn’t mean that gap has closed.

Tomorrow, I’d watch $BTC the support at 80,809.25 and the resistance at 82,940.81, the extremes of the 48-hour range. Breaking above resistance with a recovery in volume would weaken my wait-and-see stance; losing support would put the focus on 79,800.00. What would you require to confirm a breakout above 82,940.81: a recovery in volume or a later test of that level as support?

📌 Tomorrow at 7:30 a.m. (Peru time), I’ll post what to watch for during the day. Follow me to get it early.