$BTC : This also helps explain why the current structure appears larger than the 2022 structure — not only in timing, but in size as well. ( See quoted post )
Let’s compare the rallies first:
2022: Bitcoin rallied from $34K to $48K, a gain of approximately 41.18%.
2026: Bitcoin rallied from $58K to $87K, a gain of approximately 50%.
The 2026 rally is approximately 21.42% larger in relative terms than the comparable 2022 rally.
As I’ve explained before, the current structure appears to be developing on a larger scale, with both upward and downward impulses proportionally larger than their counterparts in 2022.
Now, let’s compare the declines from the same structural point marked by the black boxes:
2022: $48K → $37K = −22.92%
2026: $87K → $63.4K = −27.13%
The projected 2026 decline is approximately 18.37% larger in relative terms than the comparable 2022 decline.
Notice the consistency: both the upward rally and the projected downward move are larger in percentage terms in the current structure.
This is also why a move from the same structural point can differ not only in duration but also in magnitude.
The current structure appears to be repeating a similar pattern to 2022, but each step is taking proportionally longer to develop.
Because we’re potentially on a prolonged bearish cycle which is can last well over one year.
Let’s compare the rallies first:
2022: Bitcoin rallied from $34K to $48K, a gain of approximately 41.18%.
2026: Bitcoin rallied from $58K to $87K, a gain of approximately 50%.
The 2026 rally is approximately 21.42% larger in relative terms than the comparable 2022 rally.
As I’ve explained before, the current structure appears to be developing on a larger scale, with both upward and downward impulses proportionally larger than their counterparts in 2022.
Now, let’s compare the declines from the same structural point marked by the black boxes:
2022: $48K → $37K = −22.92%
2026: $87K → $63.4K = −27.13%
The projected 2026 decline is approximately 18.37% larger in relative terms than the comparable 2022 decline.
Notice the consistency: both the upward rally and the projected downward move are larger in percentage terms in the current structure.
This is also why a move from the same structural point can differ not only in duration but also in magnitude.
The current structure appears to be repeating a similar pattern to 2022, but each step is taking proportionally longer to develop.
Because we’re potentially on a prolonged bearish cycle which is can last well over one year.