$BTC
$BNB
$SOL
CME interest rate futures data show that the market-implied probability of a Fed rate hike in October has fallen to 17%, with rates staying unchanged now the market’s baseline expectation. Cooling rate-hike expectations mean that the pressure to tighten liquidity further in the near term has eased significantly, weakening a potential driver of dollar strength and supporting a recovery in sentiment toward risk assets.
Of course, a low probability of a rate hike does not mean the inflation problem has been fully resolved. The Fed still retains the option to adjust its policy later, and macro news may continue to cause volatility. However, the marginal easing of tightening expectations suggests that the biggest macroeconomic headwind is gradually fading.
Markets don’t turn around overnight, and it takes time for improving expectations to feed through. Keep a close eye on CPI and key employment data, manage your positions, and wait patiently for opportunities driven by liquidity expectations. #美联储10月加息概率降至约17% #比特币短期持有者持仓升至408万枚 #比特币回升至8.2万美元
$BNB
$SOL
CME interest rate futures data show that the market-implied probability of a Fed rate hike in October has fallen to 17%, with rates staying unchanged now the market’s baseline expectation. Cooling rate-hike expectations mean that the pressure to tighten liquidity further in the near term has eased significantly, weakening a potential driver of dollar strength and supporting a recovery in sentiment toward risk assets.
Of course, a low probability of a rate hike does not mean the inflation problem has been fully resolved. The Fed still retains the option to adjust its policy later, and macro news may continue to cause volatility. However, the marginal easing of tightening expectations suggests that the biggest macroeconomic headwind is gradually fading.
Markets don’t turn around overnight, and it takes time for improving expectations to feed through. Keep a close eye on CPI and key employment data, manage your positions, and wait patiently for opportunities driven by liquidity expectations. #美联储10月加息概率降至约17% #比特币短期持有者持仓升至408万枚 #比特币回升至8.2万美元