Fed in October: 17% chance of a rate hike.
What changed:
It was nearly 50% at the start of the month
Weak employment data are putting pressure on expectations
Weaker economic indicators are reducing expectations of tightening
What this means:
Lower rate hike expectations favor risk assets
Treasury yields and the dollar may weaken
More favorable conditions for BTC and crypto
But keep in mind:
A lower probability doesn’t guarantee a price rise
Inflation, Fed guidance, and unexpected events can quickly change expectations
Levels:
$BTC: ~$83,100. Support at $80,200–$81,500.
$ETH: ~$2,460. Watch institutional flows.
$SOL: ~$111.50. Monitor liquidity and risk appetite.
My view:
Falling expectations are favorable for crypto in the short term. But confirmation will come from the data and price action.
Disclaimer: Educational content. DYOR.
$AGT
#FederalReserve #macroeconomy #bitcoin #cryptotrading
What changed:
It was nearly 50% at the start of the month
Weak employment data are putting pressure on expectations
Weaker economic indicators are reducing expectations of tightening
What this means:
Lower rate hike expectations favor risk assets
Treasury yields and the dollar may weaken
More favorable conditions for BTC and crypto
But keep in mind:
A lower probability doesn’t guarantee a price rise
Inflation, Fed guidance, and unexpected events can quickly change expectations
Levels:
$BTC: ~$83,100. Support at $80,200–$81,500.
$ETH: ~$2,460. Watch institutional flows.
$SOL: ~$111.50. Monitor liquidity and risk appetite.
My view:
Falling expectations are favorable for crypto in the short term. But confirmation will come from the data and price action.
Disclaimer: Educational content. DYOR.
$AGT
#FederalReserve #macroeconomy #bitcoin #cryptotrading