ETH/USDT — Neutral / Breakdown & Breakout Plan

​Status: NO TRADE YET (Waiting for Confirmation)

​Bias: Neutral (3 Bullish vs. 1 Bearish signal)

​Range Zone: 2,401.37 – 2,497.51 (4.0% No-Trade Zone — No Edge)

​🟢 LONG SETUP (Breakout)

​Trigger: 1-Hour candle close above $2,497.51

​Stop Loss: $2,449.61

​Targets:

​$2,533.44 (TP1)

​$2,557.38 (TP2)

​$2,593.31 (TP3)

​🔴 SHORT SETUP (Breakdown)

​Trigger: 1-Hour candle close below $2,401.37

​Stop Loss: $2,449.27

​Targets:

​$2,365.45 (TP1)

​$2,341.50 (TP2)

​$2,305.57 (TP3)

​📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown

​Bullish Case: Strong lower-timeframe buyer momentum. The 15m ADX (27.7) and DI+ (33.2 vs. DI- 20.8) show buyers in control, supported by a healthy 1h RSI (66.0).

​Bearish Case: Higher-timeframe resistance remains heavy. The 4h market structure is strictly bearish, trading under both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.

​Verdict: Sitting on hands inside the 4.0% chop range until a 1h close confirms a directional breakout.

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