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旅人丶
270 Posts

旅人丶

入圈四年|二级交易员|数字游民|爱说点真话|真实喊单 马前炮分析内容|主要分析主流币 $BTC $ETH
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2.1 Years
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From a chip perspective: $DUSK 5-minute surge +3.02%, current price 0.1191, 24h trading volume $4.32 million. Let’s break down the capital flow: The gains were concentrated in just 5 minutes, indicating aggressive active buying. 24h up +7.98% at the same time, showing a consistent chip rhythm. Next, watch whether large orders continue; if they stop, it may easily give back the gains. Like first, and come back later to see whether the trend is confirmed.
From a chip perspective:
$DUSK 5-minute surge +3.02%, current price 0.1191, 24h trading volume $4.32 million.
Let’s break down the capital flow:
The gains were concentrated in just 5 minutes, indicating aggressive active buying.
24h up +7.98% at the same time, showing a consistent chip rhythm.
Next, watch whether large orders continue; if they stop, it may easily give back the gains.
Like first, and come back later to see whether the trend is confirmed.
The numbers don’t show any major anomalies for now, so let’s make a note of it. Take this report, for example: Chainalysis: Retail investors are moving Bitcoin out of the U.S., while institutions are moving Bitcoin into the U.S., $BTC . It’s not bearish. If more specific data emerges later, we can take a closer look.
The numbers don’t show any major anomalies for now, so let’s make a note of it.
Take this report, for example: Chainalysis: Retail investors are moving Bitcoin out of the U.S., while institutions are moving Bitcoin into the U.S., $BTC .
It’s not bearish. If more specific data emerges later, we can take a closer look.
$SIREN The daily Bollinger Bands narrowed for 17 days before breaking above the upper band (0.0277). The logic is simple: the Bollinger Bands use the 20-period moving average as the middle band, with the upper and lower bands set 2 standard deviations above and below it. Narrowing bands indicate declining volatility; the longer they stay contracted, the bigger the move tends to be when the market finally breaks out. Going forward, focus on two things: whether the bands continue to widen, and whether the middle band at 0.0233 provides support on a pullback.
$SIREN The daily Bollinger Bands narrowed for 17 days before breaking above the upper band (0.0277).
The logic is simple: the Bollinger Bands use the 20-period moving average as the middle band, with the upper and lower bands set 2 standard deviations above and below it. Narrowing bands indicate declining volatility; the longer they stay contracted, the bigger the move tends to be when the market finally breaks out.
Going forward, focus on two things: whether the bands continue to widen, and whether the middle band at 0.0233 provides support on a pullback.
Recently I bought a small position on Binance, $NIL , mainly because I’m bullish on Nillion’s current Encrypted Markets direction. What I like most about Covenants It encrypts instructions before putting them on-chain, and they can only be executed after the conditions are met. Before the trigger, no one can see the contents, and it doesn’t rely on a single keeper to decide whether to act. The strategy intent can truly stay hidden, reducing the risk of being front-run or targeted. What I’m looking forward to after Dusk goes live Dusk has already brought Covenants to Ethereum mainnet, so the basic capability is in place. What I’m more excited about next is Darkfall expanding this mechanism to more EVM chains, and Nightside supporting more flexible custom conditions, so cross-asset strategies and privacy applications can really start running. Further down the line, if Neon’s dedicated language and VM are implemented, the development barrier will be lowered even more. The position isn’t large; I’m mainly tracking future application rollout and the pace of roadmap progress. #nil $NIL @nillionnetwork
Recently I bought a small position on Binance, $NIL , mainly because I’m bullish on Nillion’s current Encrypted Markets direction.

What I like most about Covenants

It encrypts instructions before putting them on-chain, and they can only be executed after the conditions are met. Before the trigger, no one can see the contents, and it doesn’t rely on a single keeper to decide whether to act. The strategy intent can truly stay hidden, reducing the risk of being front-run or targeted.

What I’m looking forward to after Dusk goes live

Dusk has already brought Covenants to Ethereum mainnet, so the basic capability is in place. What I’m more excited about next is Darkfall expanding this mechanism to more EVM chains, and Nightside supporting more flexible custom conditions, so cross-asset strategies and privacy applications can really start running. Further down the line, if Neon’s dedicated language and VM are implemented, the development barrier will be lowered even more.

The position isn’t large; I’m mainly tracking future application rollout and the pace of roadmap progress.
#nil $NIL @Nillion
Market Notes | $BTW 5 min +3.86%, 4h +12%, 24h -9.2% A beautiful rally, but don't forget: the faster it rises, the faster volatility tends to follow. Did you catch this move, or did you miss it? #BTW
Market Notes | $BTW
5 min +3.86%, 4h +12%, 24h -9.2%
A beautiful rally, but don't forget: the faster it rises, the faster volatility tends to follow.
Did you catch this move, or did you miss it?

#BTW
Everyone, there’s a new development with $BTC ! Vana has launched a new version of its app, allowing users to authorize and record data transfers. This kind of progress is a shot in the arm for holders, so discussion is likely to pick up! But remember: hype comes and goes quickly, so don’t rush in when emotions are running hottest! What signals would you look for before making a move?
Everyone, there’s a new development with $BTC !
Vana has launched a new version of its app, allowing users to authorize and record data transfers.
This kind of progress is a shot in the arm for holders, so discussion is likely to pick up! But remember: hype comes and goes quickly, so don’t rush in when emotions are running hottest!
What signals would you look for before making a move?
Late-night crowd bulletin: Fed Chair Warsh says he won’t prejudge future interest rate decisions and hasn’t revealed whether there will be another rate hike in October. This news is enough to keep everyone arguing for days. I’m just here to bring the sunflower seeds. $BTC latest: 82046.59.
Late-night crowd bulletin: Fed Chair Warsh says he won’t prejudge future interest rate decisions and hasn’t revealed whether there will be another rate hike in October.
This news is enough to keep everyone arguing for days. I’m just here to bring the sunflower seeds.
$BTC latest: 82046.59.
Hot Topic Watch: “Tesla’s flying sports car will go into production in 2028” Musk-related $DOGE 24h +2.52%. When everyone online is talking about it, that’s sometimes when the buzz is at its peak. It doesn’t hurt to stay calm. Short-term moves follow sentiment; bigger-picture moves follow trends. This news mainly affects the short term.
Hot Topic Watch: “Tesla’s flying sports car will go into production in 2028”
Musk-related $DOGE 24h +2.52%.
When everyone online is talking about it, that’s sometimes when the buzz is at its peak. It doesn’t hurt to stay calm. Short-term moves follow sentiment; bigger-picture moves follow trends. This news mainly affects the short term.
$STBL 15-minute futures open interest increased by 15.44%; the price rose 19.95% over the same period. The most direct way to tell whether money is flowing into futures contracts is to look at open interest—but you need to understand what the number means. An increase in open interest means new positions have been opened. A decrease means positions have been closed, either voluntarily or through forced liquidation. The point of understanding an indicator is to avoid being misled by the numbers, not to use it to pinpoint tops and bottoms.
$STBL 15-minute futures open interest increased by 15.44%; the price rose 19.95% over the same period.
The most direct way to tell whether money is flowing into futures contracts is to look at open interest—but you need to understand what the number means.
An increase in open interest means new positions have been opened. A decrease means positions have been closed, either voluntarily or through forced liquidation.
The point of understanding an indicator is to avoid being misled by the numbers, not to use it to pinpoint tops and bottoms.
Let's talk: Quite a few people in the square are discussing $UNI today. My habit is to listen first and decide later; I choose my own position size. $UNI is now at 7.007 (24h -5.05%). What would you do?
Let's talk: Quite a few people in the square are discussing $UNI today.

My habit is to listen first and decide later; I choose my own position size.
$UNI is now at 7.007 (24h -5.05%). What would you do?
Article
Morning Brief | 10.15 BTC 80,870.95First, a look at the market: $BTC 80,870.95 (-2.85%) $ETH 2353.59 (-5.93%) BNB 716.49 (-3.57%) SOL 101.98 (-4.86%) In a pullback; first, let's see if support holds. What everyone's talking about: #9月CPI来袭原油美债走势如何 #Solana定于10月21日进行Alpenglow升级 Top movers: Top gainers: ZEREBRO +44.55%, WAL +44.45%, ARC +20.59% Top losers: Lobster -32.44%, EPIC -28.44%, US -27.59% News: 1. Binance to support the Filecoin (FIL) network upgrade and hard fork 2. Bitcoin falls below $81,000, down over 3% in 24 hours 3. UEX Daily Report | Nasdaq falls 1.88%; U.S. September CPI rises 3.7% year over year; BTC nears the ETF cost basis reference line

Morning Brief | 10.15 BTC 80,870.95

First, a look at the market:
$BTC 80,870.95 (-2.85%)
$ETH 2353.59 (-5.93%)
BNB 716.49 (-3.57%)
SOL 101.98 (-4.86%)
In a pullback; first, let's see if support holds.
What everyone's talking about:
#9月CPI来袭原油美债走势如何 #Solana定于10月21日进行Alpenglow升级
Top movers:
Top gainers: ZEREBRO +44.55%, WAL +44.45%, ARC +20.59%
Top losers: Lobster -32.44%, EPIC -28.44%, US -27.59%
News:
1. Binance to support the Filecoin (FIL) network upgrade and hard fork
2. Bitcoin falls below $81,000, down over 3% in 24 hours
3. UEX Daily Report | Nasdaq falls 1.88%; U.S. September CPI rises 3.7% year over year; BTC nears the ETF cost basis reference line
What is a zero-knowledge proof? Many people can't answer! Launched in 2016, Zcash was one of the first public blockchains to use zk-SNARKs for anonymous transfers. “Zero knowledge” means that the verifier learns nothing beyond the fact that “the statement is true”—not that they learn absolutely nothing. Markets are always uncertain, so decide in advance what to do if your judgment turns out to be wrong. $ZK 0.01572(-3.14%)
What is a zero-knowledge proof? Many people can't answer!
Launched in 2016, Zcash was one of the first public blockchains to use zk-SNARKs for anonymous transfers.
“Zero knowledge” means that the verifier learns nothing beyond the fact that “the statement is true”—not that they learn absolutely nothing.
Markets are always uncertain, so decide in advance what to do if your judgment turns out to be wrong.
$ZK 0.01572(-3.14%)
$Lobster broke below MA200 on the daily chart (0.03272). Quick explainer: What is a moving average? There are several types of moving averages, including simple and exponential: MA generally refers to a simple moving average, where each candlestick has equal weight; EMA gives more weight to recent prices. Indicators can fail, so don’t skip risk management: think about what you’ll do if you’re wrong before anything else—it’s more important than guessing correctly. #龙虾
$Lobster broke below MA200 on the daily chart (0.03272).
Quick explainer: What is a moving average?
There are several types of moving averages, including simple and exponential: MA generally refers to a simple moving average, where each candlestick has equal weight; EMA gives more weight to recent prices.
Indicators can fail, so don’t skip risk management: think about what you’ll do if you’re wrong before anything else—it’s more important than guessing correctly.

#龙虾
$Q 5 minutes +2.19% Current price: 0.04942, 24-hour trading volume: $288 million Funds are concentrating here. Increased attention often attracts more momentum-driven buyers, and volatility may rise as well. This is only an observation of the data; make your own trading decisions.
$Q 5 minutes +2.19%
Current price: 0.04942, 24-hour trading volume: $288 million
Funds are concentrating here. Increased attention often attracts more momentum-driven buyers, and volatility may rise as well. This is only an observation of the data; make your own trading decisions.
The market is buzzing again! $AVAX 1-hour trading volume just exploded by 3.6x! The price rose by 1.45% at the same time, and money is starting to rush in. Everyone’s an analyst when prices are rising; the real skill shows during a pullback. What signal are you waiting for before making a move? #AVAX
The market is buzzing again!
$AVAX 1-hour trading volume just exploded by 3.6x!
The price rose by 1.45% at the same time, and money is starting to rush in.
Everyone’s an analyst when prices are rising; the real skill shows during a pullback. What signal are you waiting for before making a move?

#AVAX
Crypto 101: Smart Contract Risks In 2016, The DAO was attacked through a reentrancy vulnerability. Ethereum then addressed the issue with a hard fork, while the original chain that did not fork continued as Ethereum Classic (ETC). If the code is changed after an audit, or the version actually deployed differs from the audited version, the audit findings may not fully apply. I didn’t understand this back then, and the losses I took could have bought me bubble tea for several months. The Ethereum chain where $ETH resides is one of the earliest public blockchains to support general-purpose smart contracts. Currently 2509.08. #ETH
Crypto 101: Smart Contract Risks
In 2016, The DAO was attacked through a reentrancy vulnerability. Ethereum then addressed the issue with a hard fork, while the original chain that did not fork continued as Ethereum Classic (ETC).
If the code is changed after an audit, or the version actually deployed differs from the audited version, the audit findings may not fully apply.
I didn’t understand this back then, and the losses I took could have bought me bubble tea for several months.
The Ethereum chain where $ETH resides is one of the earliest public blockchains to support general-purpose smart contracts. Currently 2509.08.

#ETH
Top 5 gainers in the past hour: No.1 $币安人生 +4.29% No.2 $Q +3.14% No.3 $NIGHT +2.80% No.4 AERO +1.99% No.5 USELESS +1.85% Overall, the pace is relatively healthy. What signals would you look for before making a move?
Top 5 gainers in the past hour:
No.1 $币安人生 +4.29%
No.2 $Q +3.14%
No.3 $NIGHT +2.80%
No.4 AERO +1.99%
No.5 USELESS +1.85%
Overall, the pace is relatively healthy. What signals would you look for before making a move?
Let’s talk about $Lobster just now: 5 minutes, +3.2%. After a sharp run-up, consolidating and digesting the gains is often healthier than just pushing higher nonstop. Honestly, what I care about most now isn’t how much it rises, but avoiding a major mistake.
Let’s talk about $Lobster just now: 5 minutes, +3.2%.
After a sharp run-up, consolidating and digesting the gains is often healthier than just pushing higher nonstop. Honestly, what I care about most now isn’t how much it rises, but avoiding a major mistake.
$4.47 million worth of ONDO was apparently sold off by mcaavebank.eth after being held for over a year. Whenever news like this comes up, someone in the comments gets excited. I’d rather take a step back. When bearish news hits, everyone wants to run—but true bottoms often come when few people are willing to buy. Do you think this news is being overblown? $ONDO How you trade is up to you; I’m just sharing.
$4.47 million worth of ONDO was apparently sold off by mcaavebank.eth after being held for over a year.
Whenever news like this comes up, someone in the comments gets excited. I’d rather take a step back. When bearish news hits, everyone wants to run—but true bottoms often come when few people are willing to buy. Do you think this news is being overblown?
$ONDO

How you trade is up to you; I’m just sharing.
Niulaisi’s market cap has already reached 40 million. For friends who haven’t bought yet, I don’t recommend chasing it anymore. The value-for-money is too low. Let me give you a few examples: Mubarak, Broccoli714, and TST that bought into the spot their market cap is only around 15 million. Freedom of Money and me, “ta ma lai le,” that bought into Alpha their market caps are 4 million and 9 million respectively. All of them are waiting for cz’s reply or for Alpha to distribute/sell. I don’t believe he’ll be the next Binance life story.
Niulaisi’s market cap has already reached 40 million.
For friends who haven’t bought yet, I don’t recommend chasing it anymore.
The value-for-money is too low.

Let me give you a few examples:
Mubarak, Broccoli714, and TST that bought into the spot
their market cap is only around 15 million.
Freedom of Money and me, “ta ma lai le,” that bought into Alpha
their market caps are 4 million and 9 million respectively.

All of them are waiting for cz’s reply or for Alpha to distribute/sell.

I don’t believe he’ll be the next Binance life story.
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