**⚠️ Critical moment: BTC is hovering around $80K**
BTC at **$81,300 (-1.1%)**. The 24-hour low was **$79,800**: it dipped below $80K and bounced back.
**📊 Daily (short term)**
🟢 StochRSI at **7.6** and Williams %R at **-80**: oversold
🟢 Price dipped below the lower Bollinger Band (~$80,900) and bounced back
🟢 Order book: **77% buy orders**
🔴 MACD is negative (DIF below DEA) and red bars are still growing
🔴 OBV is falling and RSI(14) is at 45
**📊 Weekly (medium term)**
🔹 Rejected at ~$87,400, with StochRSI at 84 turning downward
🔹 MACD is positive, price is ~13% above the middle band (~$71,500)
**😐 Sentiment:** Fear & Greed at **47 (Neutral)**, down from 50 yesterday and 56 last week. Sentiment is cooling, but there’s still no extreme fear, which often marks market bottoms.
**🏦 Macro**
🔺 September CPI: **3.72% year over year**, with core inflation above expectations
🔺 Fed: meeting on **10/27–28**, with the chance of another rate hike above 50%
🔺 10-year Treasury yield reached **~5.35%** (10/08)
🔺 ETFs: **-$773M** between 10/07 and 10/12
**🧭 Takeaway:** the daily chart is already in the **caution** zone, but MACD and OBV have yet to turn, the weekly chart remains stretched, and macro factors are weighing on the market. **This is a warning, not an entry.**
**Trigger:** Daily StochRSI crossing above 20, a close above the lower band (~$80,900), and MACD stopping its deterioration. If BTC closes below $80K: **~$75,000** and **~$71,500**.
Those who follow me know the method and make decisions based on data. I’ll post here when the setup is complete 🔔
⚠️ Technical analysis is not a guarantee or a recommendation. Crypto is high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CPI #CPIWatch $NVDAB $AAPLB $MSFTB
BTC at **$81,300 (-1.1%)**. The 24-hour low was **$79,800**: it dipped below $80K and bounced back.
**📊 Daily (short term)**
🟢 StochRSI at **7.6** and Williams %R at **-80**: oversold
🟢 Price dipped below the lower Bollinger Band (~$80,900) and bounced back
🟢 Order book: **77% buy orders**
🔴 MACD is negative (DIF below DEA) and red bars are still growing
🔴 OBV is falling and RSI(14) is at 45
**📊 Weekly (medium term)**
🔹 Rejected at ~$87,400, with StochRSI at 84 turning downward
🔹 MACD is positive, price is ~13% above the middle band (~$71,500)
**😐 Sentiment:** Fear & Greed at **47 (Neutral)**, down from 50 yesterday and 56 last week. Sentiment is cooling, but there’s still no extreme fear, which often marks market bottoms.
**🏦 Macro**
🔺 September CPI: **3.72% year over year**, with core inflation above expectations
🔺 Fed: meeting on **10/27–28**, with the chance of another rate hike above 50%
🔺 10-year Treasury yield reached **~5.35%** (10/08)
🔺 ETFs: **-$773M** between 10/07 and 10/12
**🧭 Takeaway:** the daily chart is already in the **caution** zone, but MACD and OBV have yet to turn, the weekly chart remains stretched, and macro factors are weighing on the market. **This is a warning, not an entry.**
**Trigger:** Daily StochRSI crossing above 20, a close above the lower band (~$80,900), and MACD stopping its deterioration. If BTC closes below $80K: **~$75,000** and **~$71,500**.
Those who follow me know the method and make decisions based on data. I’ll post here when the setup is complete 🔔
⚠️ Technical analysis is not a guarantee or a recommendation. Crypto is high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CPI #CPIWatch $NVDAB $AAPLB $MSFTB