Solana is classic high-beta bleed: price 101–104, 50-day MA at 109.4, RSI 40.9, down 10.11% for the week, and much weaker than BTC. When macro conditions turn risk-off, SOL gets hit first. SOL futures liquidations were around $31 million—not explosive, but the direction is ugly.

Structure:

• Support: 100 (psychological level + intraday low zone) / 97.5 / 94

• Resistance: 106.75 (previous close) / 109.24 (50-day MA) / 120

• Mid-term: The ecosystem, stablecoins, and Payments remain intact, but in the short term, “altseason is delayed.”

• Short term: If BTC can’t hold 80k, SOL will test 100 first.

SOL’s biggest risk is “bullish weekly chart, fully loaded today.” When watching the market, consider its relative strength: if SOL/BTC doesn’t make a new low, funds are still flowing into L1s; if SOL is the only one in the red while BTC is green, liquidity is insufficient. You can check the latest crypto prices on BiyaPay, with SOL, SUI, HYPE, and PUMP all on one screen—at a glance, you can see which high-beta coin dives first and understand how it works:

• Don’t chase the upper wick at 104; wait for a high-volume 15-minute close above 106.7 before following.

• If it returns to 100–101 and forms a lower wick: use a small position, with a stop-loss at 99.2.

• If it closes below 100: exit longs and wait for 97.5.

• Position size ≤ 12%; don’t treat SOL like BTC.

SOL’s mid-term outlook isn’t over, but today isn’t about a run to 120—it’s about “watching whether high beta gets washed out by CPI along with BTC.” Keep an eye on 80k first.