Key information about the Fed right now:

• Current interest rate: The federal funds rate is being maintained in a range of 3.75%–4.00%.
• September inflation pressures: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated more than forecast in September, mainly due to pressure from energy prices and rising transportation costs.
• Likelihood of a rate hike in October: According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the probability that the Fed will raise rates by another 0.25% at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting has surged to around 50%–52%.
• Views from Fed officials:
• Some officials believe the Fed is in no rush to raise rates immediately, as it needs more data (such as the September PCE index, which will be released later this month).
• However, some members have left open the possibility of further tightening if inflation does not cool quickly.
• Market movements: In response to this information, U.S. Treasury yields rose, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and global stock markets saw a cautious pullback.$BTC
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