$AVA was still being discussed yesterday as a “watchlist rotation” play. Today it fell from around 0.34 back to near 0.25—down roughly 20%.
The most common thing people say in the group isn’t “I got it wrong,” but: “I’ve already lost so much. If I sell now, won’t that just make the loss real?”
That’s the sunk-cost fallacy: your brain treats the money you’ve already lost as something you have to earn back. The more you lose, the harder it is to cut your losses. Often, it’s not that the original reasoning still holds—it’s that you don’t want to let the loss “become final.”
Here’s a way to interrupt that thinking right now: forget how much you’ve already lost and just ask, “If I were out of this position right now, based on what I know today, would I buy in?” If not, don’t let an old loss hold your new decisions hostage.
Have you recently used “I’ve already lost money” as a reason to keep holding?
#交易心理 #沉没成本 $AVA
The most common thing people say in the group isn’t “I got it wrong,” but: “I’ve already lost so much. If I sell now, won’t that just make the loss real?”
That’s the sunk-cost fallacy: your brain treats the money you’ve already lost as something you have to earn back. The more you lose, the harder it is to cut your losses. Often, it’s not that the original reasoning still holds—it’s that you don’t want to let the loss “become final.”
Here’s a way to interrupt that thinking right now: forget how much you’ve already lost and just ask, “If I were out of this position right now, based on what I know today, would I buy in?” If not, don’t let an old loss hold your new decisions hostage.
Have you recently used “I’ve already lost money” as a reason to keep holding?
#交易心理 #沉没成本 $AVA