Top Forecaster Warns: Fed Could Raise Rates by 50 Basis Points in December, with Policy Path for Early Next Year in Flux
Economist Jason Schenker, who was among the first to predict the Fed’s most recent rate hike, is now raising another possibility: if inflationary pressures persist, the Fed could raise rates by 50 basis points in December rather than the usual 25.
Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics, expects the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates again at its meeting this month. He believes policymakers need to first observe the effects of the September rate hike before deciding whether to take more aggressive action at year-end.
“In December, if inflation has not been curbed more forcefully and substantially following the September rate hike, the Fed may choose to raise rates by 50 basis points instead of 25 to put greater pressure on inflation,” Schenker said.