🎮 C9 vs KC｜Opening Match Prediction & Hedging
🎯 Win Probability
KC 67%｜C9 33%
KC is favored, but it’s not a sure win.
📋 Basis for Assessment
• Recent form: Both teams have recently lost important BO5 series
• Rosters: KC has been more stable, while C9 has rotated players throughout the year
• International events: KC has a larger sample size, but the win rates cannot be compared directly
• Head-to-head／patch／draft: Insufficient evidence, so no additional weighting
• Match importance: High; the loser must win three matches in a row to advance
• KOLs: No verifiable predictions for this match found so far
📊 Market Reference
Binance buy prices: KC 0.69U｜C9 0.32U
Polymarket: KC 68¢｜C9 33¢
Quote snapshot: October 15, 2026, 09:48 Beijing time.
💰 Hedging Plan
Buy KC first: 10.10U
Then buy C9: about 4.6841U
Hold about 14.6377 shares on each side
Total investment: about 14.7841U
Payout under normal settlement: about 14.6377U
Price spread loss: about 0.1464U + fees
⚠️ Participation Reminder
Match positions based on the actual number of shares received; recalculate if prices change. Only the first purchase direction counts toward scoring, and the scoring position must be held until settlement.
📝 Disclaimer
This article shares only a personal assessment of the event and a calculation example; it does not constitute investment or trading advice. Win probabilities are estimates, and quotes are historical snapshots; actual execution, fees, and settlement may differ. Hedging does not guarantee a profit or a prize. Please make your own judgment, participate within your means, and comply with local laws and platform rules.
#英雄联盟 #预测市场 #Binance Wallet
🎯 Win Probability
KC 67%｜C9 33%
KC is favored, but it’s not a sure win.
📋 Basis for Assessment
• Recent form: Both teams have recently lost important BO5 series
• Rosters: KC has been more stable, while C9 has rotated players throughout the year
• International events: KC has a larger sample size, but the win rates cannot be compared directly
• Head-to-head／patch／draft: Insufficient evidence, so no additional weighting
• Match importance: High; the loser must win three matches in a row to advance
• KOLs: No verifiable predictions for this match found so far
📊 Market Reference
Binance buy prices: KC 0.69U｜C9 0.32U
Polymarket: KC 68¢｜C9 33¢
Quote snapshot: October 15, 2026, 09:48 Beijing time.
💰 Hedging Plan
Buy KC first: 10.10U
Then buy C9: about 4.6841U
Hold about 14.6377 shares on each side
Total investment: about 14.7841U
Payout under normal settlement: about 14.6377U
Price spread loss: about 0.1464U + fees
⚠️ Participation Reminder
Match positions based on the actual number of shares received; recalculate if prices change. Only the first purchase direction counts toward scoring, and the scoring position must be held until settlement.
📝 Disclaimer
This article shares only a personal assessment of the event and a calculation example; it does not constitute investment or trading advice. Win probabilities are estimates, and quotes are historical snapshots; actual execution, fees, and settlement may differ. Hedging does not guarantee a profit or a prize. Please make your own judgment, participate within your means, and comply with local laws and platform rules.
#英雄联盟 #预测市场 #Binance Wallet