I’ll be patient with BTC. If it rises to 87,500, I’ll start building a short position; if it falls below 77,000, I’ll start building a long position. I’ll use 4x leverage so I can sleep like a baby, and start with 15% of my capital.

As the price moves against me, whether up or down, I’ll average in. I assure you, sooner or later, you can win this game with good profits.

When entering a long position with 4x leverage, the liquidation price would be around this cycle’s lows. It’s very unlikely that we’ll see a new low, but if it happens, averaging down is the best option to avoid liquidation.

77,000 - 25% = approximately 57,700 (without averaging in or adding margin)

For a short position, the price would be above 100k—the psychological barrier everyone is trying to break, which I honestly don’t think will be broken this year. Plus, by averaging in as the price rises, the entry price will be much better, letting you profit from the correction.

87,500 + 25% = approximately 109,000 (without averaging in or adding margin)

Which will come first: 77k or 87.5k?

This isn’t investment advice, but if anyone wants to do the same as me, go ahead.