The night before CPI, market makers place their bets first

The CME data is right there: the odds of no rate hike in October are 78.4%—looks pretty solid. But the odds of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike by December have already surged to 69.7%. The market can change its tune in the blink of an eye. It says it’s standing pat, but wallets are already bracing for a liquidity drain.

On the charts, leveraged BTC longs are piled up thick and fast above $90K. Market makers love setups like this: when CPI drops, they’ll likely drive a wick down to sweep out stops, then take another run at the previous high to lure in FOMO buyers. High-beta coins like SOL will only get hit with nastier wicks, while ETH will just sway with the broader market—don’t expect it to make an independent move first. The main scenario is a spike followed by a pullback. A real breakout will have to wait until the data is out and a golden buying opportunity appears after a dump.

When CPI drops tonight, are you brave enough to place limit orders and catch the falling knife, or are you getting out first? Share your entry price on those long positions—let’s see who’s lining up on the rooftop.

$BTC $ETH $SOL