Thirty minutes to the number that decides October.

September US CPI drops at 08:30 ET Oct 14 (20:30 CST Oct 14). Economists surveyed by Reuters expect headline inflation at 3.6% year-over-year (+0.6% month-over-month, up from 0.4% in August) — the jump blamed on gasoline and food. Core CPI is expected to cool to +0.2% m/m from 0.3%. The Fed hiked 25 bps in September, its first increase in over three years, yet CME FedWatch puts 77% odds on no change at the October meeting.

Market setup: BTC near $83,400 (+0.2% 24h), ETH back above $2,500. $216.8M liquidated in 24h, with shorts taking nearly 60% — the bear squeeze already started. Greed index is back to 62.

A hot print means pain for risk assets; an in-line print means relief into the month-end options expiry. Not financial advice.

---

Just thirty minutes remain until the data that will decide October’s direction.

US September CPI will be released at 08:30 ET on October 14 (20:30 CST on October 14). Reuters’ survey expects headline CPI to rise 3.6% year over year (+0.6% month over month, up from +0.4% in August), with the increase mainly driven by gasoline and food. Core CPI is expected to ease to +0.2% month over month, from +0.3%. The Fed just raised rates by 25 basis points in September, its first hike in more than three years, but CME FedWatch shows a 77% probability that rates will remain unchanged at the October meeting.

Pre-market: BTC is around $83,400 (+0.2% over 24 hours), while ETH is back above $2,500. A total of $216.8 million was liquidated across the market over the past 24 hours, with shorts accounting for nearly 60% — the bears have already been squeezed once. The Greed Index has climbed back to 62.

A hotter-than-expected reading spells trouble for risk assets; an in-line reading could bring some relief ahead of month-end options expiry. Not financial advice; for reference only.

$BTC $ETH #CPI #美联储 #加密市场 #MarketWatch