Technical analysis from a few days ago:
Let’s talk about crude oil tonight. Its current price action shows a clear uptrend, with a potential breakout on the daily chart. If it can hold firmly above 92.5, crude oil could move higher over the next one to two weeks and test the weekly resistance at 103. If it breaks through that level decisively again, crude could surpass its previous high of $130—in other words, it could then make a run toward $150. We need to keep a close eye on this, and I hope it doesn’t play out that way!
Global situation analysis:
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, and risks to key shipping routes are mounting, putting pressure on global crude oil supply. Several institutions have warned that if the situation deteriorates further, Brent crude could reach $150 per barrel. Global spare oil production capacity is currently limited, inventories continue to be drawn down, and rising shipping insurance and rerouting costs are steadily adding to the risk premium in oil prices. High oil prices will feed through to energy, logistics, and consumer goods, intensifying global inflationary pressures. Volatility in energy markets is increasing and uncertainty is surging. Investors should assess market conditions rationally, as commodity price volatility poses very high risks.
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